Oslo Holmenkollen BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 19.03.2022 women 10km Pursuit race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s women 10km Pursuit race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Gap	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
3	9	ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu	56%	88%	0s
1	0	ECKHOFF Tiril	18%	61%	40s
2	7	HAUSER Lisa Theresa	17%	62%	40s
4	20	DAVIDOVA Marketa	4%	27%	79s
5	40	CHEVALIER Anais	2%	19%	92s
17	91	OEBERG Elvira	1%	11%	106s
7	56	HERRMANN Denise	1%	9%	114s
6	54	JISLOVA Jessica	<1%	4%	123s
9	68	HILDEBRAND Franziska	<1%	3%	129s
10	70	CHEVALIER Chloe	<1%	3%	142s
11	73	VITTOZZI Lisa	<1%	2%	149s
8	62	FIALKOVA Paulina	<1%	2%	145s
14	81	VOIGT Vanessa	<1%	2%	133s
18	95	HAECKI Lena	<1%	1%	161s
12	74	HETTICH Janina	<1%	1%	152s
23	105	PERSSON Linn	<1%	1%	151s
26	115	TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark	<1%	1%	155s
16	90	NILSSON Stina	<1%	<1%	183s
39	146	OEBERG Hanna	<1%	<1%	168s
36	144	SIMON Julia	<1%	<1%	181s
15	86	FEMSTEINEVIK Ragnhild	<1%	<1%	182s
19	98	KNOTTEN Karoline Offigstad	<1%	<1%	167s
13	74	BENDIKA Baiba	<1%	<1%	184s
42	154	BRAISAZ Justine	<1%	<1%	210s
22	103	LAUKKANEN Mari	<1%	<1%	205s
27	117	BRORSSON Mona	<1%	<1%	186s
37	144	BESCOND Anais	<1%	<1%	196s
25	111	FIALKOVA Ivona	<1%	<1%	225s
34	143	TALIHAERM Johanna	0%	0%	330s
30	130	GASPARIN Elisa	0%	<1%	252s