Oslo Holmenkollen BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 18.03.2022 women 7.5km Sprint race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s women 7.5km Sprint race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
3	ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu	21%	43%	0s
13	OEBERG Elvira	12%	29%	14s
19	OEBERG Hanna	8%	22%	22s
9	ECKHOFF Tiril	7%	20%	25s
11	BRAISAZ Justine	5%	15%	34s
29	SIMON Julia	5%	13%	36s
26	HERRMANN Denise	4%	12%	37s
31	CHEVALIER Anais	4%	12%	36s
1	HAUSER Lisa Theresa	4%	13%	33s
25	PREUSS Franziska	4%	13%	33s
22	WIERER Dorothea	3%	12%	34s
7	TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark	3%	11%	37s
40	BESCOND Anais	3%	9%	41s
46	PERSSON Linn	2%	9%	42s
24	DAVIDOVA Marketa	2%	8%	46s
41	HILDEBRAND Franziska	1%	5%	48s
38	CHEVALIER Chloe	1%	5%	54s
5	VOIGT Vanessa	1%	5%	44s
36	NILSSON Stina	1%	4%	60s
45	LIEN Ida	1%	4%	59s
8	VITTOZZI Lisa	1%	3%	62s
16	BRORSSON Mona	1%	4%	55s
27	HAECKI Lena	1%	3%	65s
15	LAUKKANEN Mari	1%	2%	71s
21	FIALKOVA Paulina	1%	2%	69s
44	KNOTTEN Karoline Offigstad	1%	2%	59s
12	TODOROVA Milena	<1%	2%	72s
61	NILSSON Emma	<1%	2%	68s
56	HETTICH Janina	<1%	2%	71s
30	JISLOVA Jessica	<1%	1%	71s