August 18, 2022

Oslo Holmenkollen BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 18.03.2022 men 10km Sprint race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 10km Sprint race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib Name Country Chances of various positions Winning chance Chance for a medal Predicted seconds behind
31 FILLON MAILLET Quentin
19% 40% 0s
18 LAEGREID Sturla Holm
10% 27% 11s
13 SAMUELSSON Sebastian
8% 21% 18s
48 BAKKEN Sivert Guttorm
6% 19% 20s
9 JACQUELIN Emilien
6% 17% 23s
22 BOE Tarjei
6% 18% 21s
15 CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad
5% 17% 23s
11 DOLL Benedikt
5% 15% 27s
32 PONSILUOMA Martin
5% 13% 32s
29 LESSER Erik
4% 12% 29s
40 NAWRATH Philipp
3% 9% 38s
25 DESTHIEUX Simon
2% 9% 36s
34 ANDERSEN Filip Fjeld
2% 9% 37s
6 KUEHN Johannes
2% 7% 45s
53 CLAUDE Fabien
2% 6% 46s
37 GUIGONNAT Antonin
2% 6% 43s
27 HOFER Lukas
1% 5% 45s
3 SEPPALA Tero
1% 5% 48s
43 ANDERSEN Aleksander Fjeld
1% 5% 46s
76 ZOBEL David
1% 4% 53s
58 ASPENES Sverre Dahlen
1% 4% 51s
45 REES Roman
1% 4% 47s
63 BJOENTEGAARD Erlend
1% 3% 52s
82 HORN Philipp
1% 3% 59s
20 EDER Simon
1% 2% 53s
26 KRCMAR Michal
<1% 2% 60s
5 WEGER Benjamin
<1% 2% 60s
42 LEITNER Felix
<1% 1% 63s
1 BORMOLINI Thomas
<1% 1% 65s
55 GIACOMEL Tommaso
<1% 1% 78s
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