The biathlon model has simulated today’s women 12.5km Mass Start race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:
Bib | Name | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Predicted seconds behind |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu |
|
22% | 47% | 0s | |
3 | OEBERG Hanna |
|
11% | 28% | 25s | |
2 | OEBERG Elvira |
|
10% | 28% | 27s | |
7 | SIMON Julia |
|
8% | 22% | 37s | |
19 | PREUSS Franziska |
|
7% | 23% | 31s | |
13 | ECKHOFF Tiril |
|
7% | 20% | 38s | |
4 | HAUSER Lisa Theresa |
|
6% | 19% | 38s | |
9 | BRAISAZ Justine |
|
4% | 14% | 55s | |
5 | WIERER Dorothea |
|
4% | 14% | 49s | |
15 | TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark |
|
4% | 13% | 51s | |
6 | CHEVALIER Anais |
|
3% | 12% | 56s | |
10 | HERRMANN Denise |
|
3% | 10% | 62s | |
11 | DAVIDOVA Marketa |
|
2% | 8% | 67s | |
17 | PERSSON Linn |
|
2% | 6% | 71s | |
8 | BESCOND Anais |
|
1% | 6% | 75s | |
18 | HINZ Vanessa |
|
1% | 5% | 74s | |
12 | VOIGT Vanessa |
|
1% | 4% | 72s | |
25 | HILDEBRAND Franziska |
|
1% | 4% | 80s | |
20 | CHEVALIER Chloe |
|
1% | 3% | 90s | |
22 | KNOTTEN Karoline Offigstad |
|
1% | 3% | 84s | |
14 | BRORSSON Mona |
|
1% | 3% | 90s | |
28 | HOJNISZ Monika |
|
<1% | 2% | 94s | |
30 | FIALKOVA Paulina |
|
<1% | 2% | 106s | |
23 | NILSSON Stina |
|
<1% | 2% | 112s | |
16 | JISLOVA Jessica |
|
<1% | 1% | 99s | |
21 | LIE Lotte |
|
<1% | 1% | 96s | |
24 | LAUKKANEN Mari |
|
<1% | 1% | 127s | |
29 | MINKKINEN Suvi |
|
<1% | <1% | 123s | |
26 | IRWIN Deedra |
|
<1% | <1% | 143s | |
27 | GASPARIN Elisa |
|
<1% | <1% | 154s |