September 29, 2022

Otepaeae BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 10.03.2022 men 10km Sprint race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 10km Sprint race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib Name Country Chances of various positions Winning chance Chance for a medal Predicted seconds behind
19 FILLON MAILLET Quentin
19% 40% 0s
9 LAEGREID Sturla Holm
10% 27% 11s
2 SAMUELSSON Sebastian
9% 24% 15s
22 BOE Tarjei
8% 23% 15s
53 BAKKEN Sivert Guttorm
6% 18% 21s
20 PONSILUOMA Martin
5% 16% 28s
25 DOLL Benedikt
5% 15% 27s
29 JACQUELIN Emilien
5% 15% 26s
16 CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad
4% 14% 26s
59 NAWRATH Philipp
3% 10% 35s
13 DESTHIEUX Simon
3% 11% 31s
32 LESSER Erik
3% 11% 31s
27 KUEHN Johannes
2% 7% 43s
51 GUIGONNAT Antonin
2% 7% 40s
7 SEPPALA Tero
2% 6% 44s
66 ANDERSEN Aleksander Fjeld
2% 6% 40s
36 ANDERSEN Filip Fjeld
2% 6% 43s
85 ZOBEL David
1% 6% 43s
44 CLAUDE Fabien
1% 5% 48s
34 HOFER Lukas
1% 5% 47s
39 REES Roman
1% 4% 45s
23 KRCMAR Michal
1% 2% 55s
30 WEGER Benjamin
1% 2% 53s
4 EDER Simon
1% 2% 50s
11 BORMOLINI Thomas
<1% 2% 61s
77 JAEGER Martin
<1% 1% 70s
14 ILIEV Vladimir
<1% 1% 73s
24 LEITNER Felix
<1% 1% 62s
18 STROLIA Vytautas
<1% 1% 67s
46 NELIN Jesper
<1% 1% 71s
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