Otepaeae BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 10.03.2022 men 10km Sprint race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 10km Sprint race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
19	FILLON MAILLET Quentin	19%	40%	0s
9	LAEGREID Sturla Holm	10%	27%	11s
2	SAMUELSSON Sebastian	9%	24%	15s
22	BOE Tarjei	8%	23%	15s
53	BAKKEN Sivert Guttorm	6%	18%	21s
20	PONSILUOMA Martin	5%	16%	28s
25	DOLL Benedikt	5%	15%	27s
29	JACQUELIN Emilien	5%	15%	26s
16	CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad	4%	14%	26s
59	NAWRATH Philipp	3%	10%	35s
13	DESTHIEUX Simon	3%	11%	31s
32	LESSER Erik	3%	11%	31s
27	KUEHN Johannes	2%	7%	43s
51	GUIGONNAT Antonin	2%	7%	40s
7	SEPPALA Tero	2%	6%	44s
66	ANDERSEN Aleksander Fjeld	2%	6%	40s
36	ANDERSEN Filip Fjeld	2%	6%	43s
85	ZOBEL David	1%	6%	43s
44	CLAUDE Fabien	1%	5%	48s
34	HOFER Lukas	1%	5%	47s
39	REES Roman	1%	4%	45s
23	KRCMAR Michal	1%	2%	55s
30	WEGER Benjamin	1%	2%	53s
4	EDER Simon	1%	2%	50s
11	BORMOLINI Thomas	<1%	2%	61s
77	JAEGER Martin	<1%	1%	70s
14	ILIEV Vladimir	<1%	1%	73s
24	LEITNER Felix	<1%	1%	62s
18	STROLIA Vytautas	<1%	1%	67s
46	NELIN Jesper	<1%	1%	71s