The biathlon model has simulated today’s women 10km Pursuit race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:
Bib | Gap | Name | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Predicted seconds behind |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 28 | ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu |
|
26% | 57% | 0s | |
4 | 7 | OEBERG Hanna |
|
21% | 48% | 10s | |
7 | 19 | OEBERG Elvira |
|
17% | 43% | 15s | |
2 | 5 | ECKHOFF Tiril |
|
12% | 34% | 27s | |
5 | 16 | CHEVALIER Anais |
|
6% | 22% | 43s | |
1 | 0 | HERRMANN Denise |
|
4% | 17% | 53s | |
14 | 40 | BRAISAZ Justine |
|
2% | 9% | 73s | |
10 | 32 | PERSSON Linn |
|
2% | 10% | 64s | |
17 | 52 | WIERER Dorothea |
|
2% | 10% | 64s | |
18 | 59 | SIMON Julia |
|
2% | 9% | 71s | |
3 | 5 | NILSSON Stina |
|
2% | 8% | 79s | |
6 | 17 | VOIGT Vanessa |
|
1% | 8% | 63s | |
12 | 34 | HINZ Vanessa |
|
1% | 5% | 78s | |
26 | 75 | HAUSER Lisa Theresa |
|
1% | 4% | 80s | |
11 | 32 | KNOTTEN Karoline Offigstad |
|
1% | 4% | 82s | |
13 | 34 | FIALKOVA Paulina |
|
<1% | 2% | 104s | |
16 | 51 | LIEN Ida |
|
<1% | 2% | 108s | |
9 | 29 | LAUKKANEN Mari |
|
<1% | 2% | 112s | |
22 | 70 | DAVIDOVA Marketa |
|
<1% | 2% | 102s | |
32 | 85 | PREUSS Franziska |
|
<1% | 2% | 95s | |
21 | 67 | BESCOND Anais |
|
<1% | 1% | 105s | |
33 | 91 | TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark |
|
<1% | 1% | 110s | |
28 | 75 | HILDEBRAND Franziska |
|
<1% | 1% | 106s | |
15 | 46 | TODOROVA Milena |
|
<1% | 1% | 121s | |
20 | 63 | JISLOVA Jessica |
|
<1% | <1% | 119s | |
27 | 75 | HOJNISZ Monika |
|
<1% | <1% | 126s | |
37 | 99 | HAECKI Lena |
|
<1% | <1% | 148s | |
31 | 82 | MAGNUSSON Anna |
|
<1% | <1% | 148s | |
25 | 73 | MINKKINEN Suvi |
|
<1% | <1% | 133s | |
23 | 70 | GASPARIN Aita |
|
<1% | <1% | 148s |