Kontiolahti BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 05.03.2022 men 10km Sprint race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 10km Sprint race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
20	FILLON MAILLET Quentin	19%	42%	0s
17	SAMUELSSON Sebastian	13%	32%	9s
11	LAEGREID Sturla Holm	11%	30%	9s
30	PONSILUOMA Martin	7%	19%	25s
26	CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad	6%	18%	22s
31	DOLL Benedikt	5%	16%	26s
29	BAKKEN Sivert Guttorm	5%	17%	24s
6	JACQUELIN Emilien	5%	15%	27s
3	DESTHIEUX Simon	3%	12%	31s
53	NAWRATH Philipp	3%	10%	36s
33	LESSER Erik	3%	10%	33s
50	GUIGONNAT Antonin	3%	10%	36s
77	ZOBEL David	2%	8%	40s
68	ANDERSEN Aleksander Fjeld	2%	7%	39s
9	KUEHN Johannes	2%	7%	45s
14	SEPPALA Tero	1%	6%	46s
81	ASPENES Sverre Dahlen	1%	6%	44s
27	HOFER Lukas	1%	6%	45s
1	REES Roman	1%	4%	45s
41	ANDERSEN Filip Fjeld	1%	3%	53s
12	KRCMAR Michal	1%	2%	56s
23	EDER Simon	1%	2%	52s
15	NELIN Jesper	<1%	2%	65s
65	GIACOMEL Tommaso	<1%	2%	71s
13	STROLIA Vytautas	<1%	2%	66s
47	BORMOLINI Thomas	<1%	2%	62s
21	LEITNER Felix	<1%	1%	64s
70	JAEGER Martin	<1%	1%	73s
45	ILIEV Vladimir	<1%	1%	78s
28	BAUER Klemen	<1%	1%	77s