September 29, 2022

Kontiolahti BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 04.03.2022 men 4×7.5 Relay race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 4×7.5km Relay race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib Country Chances of various positions Winning chance Chance for a medal Predicted seconds behind
2 FRANCE
43% 88% 0s
1 NORWAY
32% 83% 13s
3 GERMANY
18% 71% 35s
5 SWEDEN
7% 41% 74s
4 ITALY
1% 12% 118s
7 CANADA
<1% 1% 182s
11 AUSTRIA
<1% 2% 162s
10 CZECH REPUBLIC
<1% <1% 233s
12 USA
<1% <1% 228s
9 FINLAND
<1% <1% 248s
6 SWITZERLAND
<1% <1% 280s
15 LITHUANIA
0% 0% 326s
14 ROMANIA
0% 0% 299s
8 SLOVENIA
0% <1% 265s
17 SLOVAKIA
0% 0% 405s
20 LATVIA
0% 0% 499s
19 KAZAKHSTAN
0% 0% 486s
16 JAPAN
0% 0% 431s
13 ESTONIA
0% 0% 345s
18 POLAND
0% 0% 411s
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