by The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 4×7.5km Relay race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:
| Bib | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Predicted seconds behind | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FRANCE |
|
43% | 88% | 0s | |
| 1 | NORWAY |
|
32% | 83% | 13s | |
| 3 | GERMANY |
|
18% | 71% | 35s | |
| 5 | SWEDEN |
|
7% | 41% | 74s | |
| 4 | ITALY |
|
1% | 12% | 118s | |
| 7 | CANADA |
|
<1% | 1% | 182s | |
| 11 | AUSTRIA |
|
<1% | 2% | 162s | |
| 10 | CZECH REPUBLIC |
|
<1% | <1% | 233s | |
| 12 | USA |
|
<1% | <1% | 228s | |
| 9 | FINLAND |
|
<1% | <1% | 248s | |
| 6 | SWITZERLAND |
|
<1% | <1% | 280s | |
| 15 | LITHUANIA |
|
0% | 0% | 326s | |
| 14 | ROMANIA |
|
0% | 0% | 299s | |
| 8 | SLOVENIA |
|
0% | <1% | 265s | |
| 17 | SLOVAKIA |
|
0% | 0% | 405s | |
| 20 | LATVIA |
|
0% | 0% | 499s | |
| 19 | KAZAKHSTAN |
|
0% | 0% | 486s | |
| 16 | JAPAN |
|
0% | 0% | 431s | |
| 13 | ESTONIA |
|
0% | 0% | 345s | |
| 18 | POLAND |
|
0% | 0% | 411s |
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