The biathlon model has simulated today’s women 4x6km Relay race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:
Bib | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Predicted seconds behind | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | NORWAY |
|
34% | 78% | 0s | |
2 | SWEDEN |
|
28% | 76% | 0s | |
1 | FRANCE |
|
28% | 74% | 8s | |
4 | GERMANY |
|
8% | 47% | 44s | |
5 | ITALY |
|
2% | 18% | 97s | |
6 | CZECH REPUBLIC |
|
<1% | 4% | 148s | |
8 | SWITZERLAND |
|
<1% | 2% | 187s | |
11 | AUSTRIA |
|
<1% | 1% | 181s | |
7 | USA |
|
<1% | <1% | 209s | |
12 | POLAND |
|
<1% | <1% | 220s | |
10 | FINLAND |
|
<1% | <1% | 258s | |
9 | ESTONIA |
|
0% | <1% | 269s | |
14 | KAZAKHSTAN |
|
0% | 0% | 335s | |
15 | ROMANIA |
|
0% | 0% | 425s | |
17 | LATVIA |
|
0% | 0% | 432s | |
13 | JAPAN |
|
0% | 0% | 394s |