Beijing Olympic Winter Games 16.02.2022 women 4x6 Relay race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s women 4x6km Relay race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Country	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
3	SWEDEN	47%	83%	0s
1	FRANCE	23%	65%	35s
4	NORWAY	14%	54%	51s
5	GERMANY	7%	37%	68s
2	RUSSIA	6%	31%	85s
6	BELARUS	2%	17%	110s
7	ITALY	1%	8%	132s
9	UKRAINE	<1%	2%	148s
8	CZECH REPUBLIC	<1%	2%	181s
14	AUSTRIA	<1%	<1%	214s
11	SWITZERLAND	<1%	<1%	207s
10	USA	<1%	<1%	237s
15	POLAND	<1%	<1%	251s
13	FINLAND	0%	<1%	291s
16	CANADA	0%	0%	388s
17	JAPAN	0%	0%	431s
18	CHINA	0%	0%	348s
19	SLOVAKIA	0%	0%	383s
20	BULGARIA	0%	0%	494s
12	ESTONIA	0%	<1%	302s