Beijing Olympic Winter Games 15.02.2022 men 4x7.5 Relay race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 4×7.5km Relay race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Country	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
1	NORWAY	48%	86%	0s
3	FRANCE	21%	65%	56s
2	RUSSIA	18%	63%	52s
4	GERMANY	9%	44%	86s
8	SWEDEN	2%	16%	158s
7	ITALY	1%	9%	183s
5	BELARUS	<1%	6%	186s
6	UKRAINE	<1%	6%	183s
14	AUSTRIA	<1%	3%	202s
10	CANADA	<1%	1%	249s
9	SWITZERLAND	<1%	1%	234s
13	CZECH REPUBLIC	<1%	<1%	302s
15	USA	<1%	<1%	306s
11	SLOVENIA	<1%	<1%	292s
12	FINLAND	<1%	<1%	325s
16	ESTONIA	0%	<1%	425s
17	LITHUANIA	0%	<1%	420s
18	BULGARIA	0%	<1%	404s
21	BELGIUM	0%	0%	492s
19	SLOVAKIA	0%	0%	482s
20	CHINA	0%	<1%	419s