Beijing Olympic Winter Games 12.02.2022 men 10km Sprint race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 10km Sprint race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
18	FILLON MAILLET Quentin	19%	41%	0s
16	BOE Johannes Thingnes	17%	38%	3s
10	LOGINOV Alexander	8%	23%	16s
40	LAEGREID Sturla Holm	7%	22%	15s
56	SAMUELSSON Sebastian	5%	16%	25s
27	BOE Tarjei	5%	16%	24s
30	DOLL Benedikt	4%	14%	30s
8	CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad	4%	14%	27s
34	JACQUELIN Emilien	4%	14%	28s
12	LATYPOV Eduard	3%	11%	33s
26	PONSILUOMA Martin	3%	9%	41s
2	DESTHIEUX Simon	3%	9%	35s
9	TSVETKOV Maxim	2%	9%	35s
4	NAWRATH Philipp	2%	8%	40s
37	CLAUDE Fabien	2%	7%	44s
24	SMOLSKI Anton	2%	6%	43s
15	PIDRUCHNYI Dmytro	1%	5%	47s
50	KUEHN Johannes	1%	5%	50s
	SEROKHVOSTOV Daniil	1%	5%	51s
42	REES Roman	1%	4%	49s
14	WEGER Benjamin	1%	3%	52s
6	SEPPALA Tero	1%	2%	59s
62	HOFER Lukas	1%	2%	57s
21	EDER Simon	<1%	2%	55s
36	KRCMAR Michal	<1%	1%	63s
74	GIACOMEL Tommaso	<1%	1%	76s
52	LEITNER Felix	<1%	1%	68s
31	GOW Scott	<1%	1%	72s
20	WINDISCH Dominik	<1%	1%	78s
44	NELIN Jesper	<1%	1%	79s