Beijing Olympic Winter Games 08.02.2022 men 20km Individual race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 20km Individual race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
2	BOE Johannes Thingnes	19%	39%	0s
53	LAEGREID Sturla Holm	16%	38%	0s
11	FILLON MAILLET Quentin	9%	23%	46s
5	BOE Tarjei	9%	23%	46s
31	LOGINOV Alexander	8%	20%	57s
1	TSVETKOV Maxim	5%	15%	71s
33	SAMUELSSON Sebastian	4%	14%	87s
26	JACQUELIN Emilien	4%	13%	86s
44	DOLL Benedikt	3%	10%	111s
15	DESTHIEUX Simon	3%	10%	100s
23	CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad	3%	10%	96s
27	LESSER Erik	2%	8%	108s
47	LATYPOV Eduard	2%	7%	124s
28	SMOLSKI Anton	2%	6%	133s
56	KHALILI Said Karimulla	1%	7%	112s
54	REES Roman	1%	6%	123s
48	CLAUDE Fabien	1%	4%	163s
13	EDER Simon	1%	6%	111s
8	KUEHN Johannes	1%	4%	166s
57	WEGER Benjamin	1%	4%	138s
35	HOFER Lukas	1%	3%	162s
16	PONSILUOMA Martin	1%	3%	192s
92	SEPPALA Tero	1%	3%	174s
36	LEITNER Felix	1%	3%	162s
41	KRCMAR Michal	1%	3%	157s
21	PIDRUCHNYI Dmytro	1%	3%	174s
67	BORMOLINI Thomas	<1%	2%	179s
29	FAK Jakov	<1%	2%	173s
63	DUDCHENKO Anton	<1%	1%	198s
60	NELIN Jesper	<1%	1%	238s