Beijing Olympic Winter Games 07.02.2022 women 15km Individual race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s women 15km Individual race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
17	OEBERG Hanna	10%	23%	4s
1	ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu	10%	24%	0s
28	OEBERG Elvira	9%	20%	17s
30	ALIMBEKAVA Dzinara	7%	18%	21s
71	PREUSS Franziska	6%	15%	33s
4	WIERER Dorothea	5%	15%	34s
11	HAUSER Lisa Theresa	4%	13%	42s
12	CHEVALIER Anais	4%	11%	61s
24	BRAISAZ Justine	3%	9%	80s
15	DAVIDOVA Marketa	3%	10%	65s
13	BRORSSON Mona	3%	10%	60s
74	REZTSOVA Kristina	3%	9%	73s
22	TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark	3%	9%	68s
19	ECKHOFF Tiril	3%	9%	77s
34	PERSSON Linn	3%	9%	72s
45	SIMON Julia	3%	8%	89s
10	BESCOND Anais	3%	8%	78s
36	VOIGT Vanessa	2%	8%	60s
29	NIGMATULLINA Uliana	2%	7%	79s
8	HERRMANN Denise	2%	6%	98s
27	SOLA Hanna	1%	4%	136s
80	HINZ Vanessa	1%	5%	103s
51	LIE Lotte	1%	5%	83s
26	HOJNISZ Monika	1%	4%	106s
32	DZHYMA Juliya	1%	4%	121s
38	MIRONOVA Svetlana	1%	3%	143s
56	STREMOUS Alina	1%	3%	138s
31	VITTOZZI Lisa	1%	2%	159s
18	LAUKKANEN Mari	<1%	2%	174s
41	HAECKI Lena	<1%	2%	171s