Beijing Olympic Winter Games 05.02.2022 mixed 4x6 Relay race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s mixed 4×6 Relay race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Country	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
4	SWEDEN	28%	62%	1s
1	NORWAY	24%	60%	0s
3	FRANCE	23%	58%	4s
2	BELARUS	9%	35%	43s
5	ROC	9%	35%	37s
7	ITALY	5%	25%	53s
6	GERMANY	2%	13%	77s
11	AUSTRIA	1%	5%	98s
9	CZECH REPUBLIC	<1%	3%	136s
8	FINLAND	<1%	2%	152s
10	UKRAINE	<1%	1%	141s
14	SWITZERLAND	<1%	<1%	162s
19	UNITED STATES OF AMERICA	<1%	<1%	215s
16	SLOVENIA	<1%	<1%	220s
13	ESTONIA	<1%	<1%	251s
18	CANADA	<1%	<1%	221s
12	CHINA	0%	0%	263s
15	SLOVAKIA	0%	<1%	251s
17	BULGARIA	0%	0%	322s
20	JAPAN	0%	0%	293s