The biathlon model has simulated today’s mixed 4×6 Relay race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:
Bib | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Predicted seconds behind | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | SWEDEN |
|
28% | 62% | 1s | |
1 | NORWAY |
|
24% | 60% | 0s | |
3 | FRANCE |
|
23% | 58% | 4s | |
2 | BELARUS |
|
9% | 35% | 43s | |
5 | ROC |
|
9% | 35% | 37s | |
7 | ITALY |
|
5% | 25% | 53s | |
6 | GERMANY |
|
2% | 13% | 77s | |
11 | AUSTRIA |
|
1% | 5% | 98s | |
9 | CZECH REPUBLIC |
|
<1% | 3% | 136s | |
8 | FINLAND |
|
<1% | 2% | 152s | |
10 | UKRAINE |
|
<1% | 1% | 141s | |
14 | SWITZERLAND |
|
<1% | <1% | 162s | |
19 | UNITED STATES OF AMERICA |
|
<1% | <1% | 215s | |
16 | SLOVENIA |
|
<1% | <1% | 220s | |
13 | ESTONIA |
|
<1% | <1% | 251s | |
18 | CANADA |
|
<1% | <1% | 221s | |
12 | CHINA |
|
0% | 0% | 263s | |
15 | SLOVAKIA |
|
0% | <1% | 251s | |
17 | BULGARIA |
|
0% | 0% | 322s | |
20 | JAPAN |
|
0% | 0% | 293s |