Antholz-Anterselva BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 23.01.2022 women 12.5km Mass Start race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s women 12.5km Mass Start race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
2	HAUSER Lisa Theresa	14%	35%	0s
7	WIERER Dorothea	12%	30%	7s
8	SIMON Julia	10%	25%	17s
19	ECKHOFF Tiril	8%	22%	22s
1	ALIMBEKAVA Dzinara	8%	22%	19s
4	BRAISAZ Justine	7%	18%	31s
9	CHEVALIER Anais	5%	15%	34s
3	SOLA Hanna	4%	13%	43s
11	REZTSOVA Kristina	4%	13%	41s
10	BRORSSON Mona	4%	13%	36s
29	HILDEBRAND Franziska	4%	12%	36s
5	DAVIDOVA Marketa	3%	12%	41s
6	BESCOND Anais	3%	11%	43s
12	TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark	3%	10%	44s
13	HERRMANN Denise	3%	9%	52s
20	VITTOZZI Lisa	2%	8%	54s
	NIGMATULLINA Uliana	2%	8%	50s
	LIEN Ida	1%	3%	79s
18	MIRONOVA Svetlana	1%	3%	80s
24	DZHYMA Juliya	1%	3%	79s
21	CHEVALIER Chloe	1%	2%	82s
17	LIE Lotte	<1%	2%	68s
25	VASNETCOVA Valeriia	<1%	2%	85s
15	VOIGT Vanessa	<1%	2%	76s
22	KAZAKEVICH Irina	<1%	2%	93s
23	LAUKKANEN Mari	<1%	1%	106s
16	JISLOVA Jessica	<1%	1%	91s
28	STREMOUS Alina	<1%	1%	100s
30	FIALKOVA Paulina	<1%	1%	110s
	GASPARIN Selina	<1%	1%	120s