by The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 4×7.5km Relay race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:
| Bib | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Predicted seconds behind | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NORWAY |
|
81% | 99% | 0s | |
| 2 | RUSSIA |
|
15% | 84% | 67s | |
| 3 | FRANCE |
|
2% | 47% | 117s | |
| 8 | ITALY |
|
1% | 32% | 136s | |
| 4 | GERMANY |
|
<1% | 12% | 168s | |
| 5 | BELARUS |
|
<1% | 10% | 170s | |
| 6 | UKRAINE |
|
<1% | 9% | 171s | |
| 15 | AUSTRIA |
|
<1% | 4% | 186s | |
| 12 | CANADA |
|
<1% | 1% | 230s | |
| 13 | FINLAND |
|
<1% | <1% | 254s | |
| 14 | USA |
|
<1% | <1% | 257s | |
| 9 | SWITZERLAND |
|
<1% | <1% | 246s | |
| 11 | CZECH REPUBLIC |
|
<1% | <1% | 313s | |
| 10 | SLOVENIA |
|
<1% | <1% | 273s | |
| 16 | ROMANIA |
|
0% | 0% | 415s | |
| 18 | ESTONIA |
|
0% | <1% | 367s | |
| 19 | BULGARIA |
|
0% | <1% | 355s | |
| 20 | SLOVAKIA |
|
0% | 0% | 417s | |
| 21 | JAPAN |
|
0% | 0% | 469s | |
| 24 | MOLDOVA |
|
0% | 0% | 475s | |
| 7 | SWEDEN |
|
0% | <1% | 359s | |
| 22 | POLAND |
|
0% | 0% | 470s | |
| 23 | KAZAKHSTAN |
|
0% | 0% | 470s | |
| 17 | LITHUANIA |
|
0% | <1% | 347s |
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