Antholz-Anterselva BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 23.01.2022 men 4x7.5 Relay race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 4×7.5km Relay race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Country	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
1	NORWAY	81%	99%	0s
2	RUSSIA	15%	84%	67s
3	FRANCE	2%	47%	117s
8	ITALY	1%	32%	136s
4	GERMANY	<1%	12%	168s
5	BELARUS	<1%	10%	170s
6	UKRAINE	<1%	9%	171s
15	AUSTRIA	<1%	4%	186s
12	CANADA	<1%	1%	230s
13	FINLAND	<1%	<1%	254s
14	USA	<1%	<1%	257s
9	SWITZERLAND	<1%	<1%	246s
11	CZECH REPUBLIC	<1%	<1%	313s
10	SLOVENIA	<1%	<1%	273s
16	ROMANIA	0%	0%	415s
18	ESTONIA	0%	<1%	367s
19	BULGARIA	0%	<1%	355s
20	SLOVAKIA	0%	0%	417s
21	JAPAN	0%	0%	469s
24	MOLDOVA	0%	0%	475s
7	SWEDEN	0%	<1%	359s
22	POLAND	0%	0%	470s
23	KAZAKHSTAN	0%	0%	470s
17	LITHUANIA	0%	<1%	347s