Antholz-Anterselva BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 22.01.2022 women 4x6 Relay race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s women 4x6km Relay race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Country	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
3	RUSSIA	27%	64%	0s
6	NORWAY	25%	61%	6s
7	ITALY	16%	51%	18s
4	BELARUS	15%	48%	22s
1	FRANCE	11%	40%	28s
9	CZECH REPUBLIC	2%	12%	84s
5	GERMANY	2%	13%	63s
12	SWITZERLAND	1%	5%	107s
8	UKRAINE	<1%	2%	112s
15	POLAND	<1%	2%	133s
2	SWEDEN	<1%	1%	122s
14	USA	<1%	<1%	161s
11	AUSTRIA	<1%	<1%	177s
13	FINLAND	<1%	<1%	185s
10	ESTONIA	<1%	<1%	187s
16	CANADA	0%	<1%	283s
17	JAPAN	0%	0%	310s
18	KAZAKHSTAN	0%	0%	316s
19	ROMANIA	0%	0%	365s
20	SLOVAKIA	0%	<1%	275s
21	KOREA	0%	0%	445s