Antholz-Anterselva BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 22.01.2022 men 15km Mass Start race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 15km Mass Start race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
1	FILLON MAILLET Quentin	24%	50%	0s
6	BOE Johannes Thingnes	15%	36%	16s
3	BOE Tarjei	11%	31%	21s
7	LAEGREID Sturla Holm	9%	27%	24s
5	CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad	7%	22%	34s
2	JACQUELIN Emilien	6%	20%	37s
4	LOGINOV Alexander	6%	19%	40s
10	LATYPOV Eduard	3%	10%	58s
12	DOLL Benedikt	3%	10%	60s
8	DESTHIEUX Simon	3%	10%	58s
16	BAKKEN Sivert Guttorm	2%	8%	62s
11	CLAUDE Fabien	2%	7%	71s
9	SMOLSKI Anton	2%	6%	71s
14	KUEHN Johannes	1%	5%	78s
18	EDER Simon	1%	5%	65s
19	KHALILI Said Karimulla	1%	4%	74s
23	GUIGONNAT Antonin	1%	4%	84s
15	REES Roman	1%	4%	77s
17	WEGER Benjamin	1%	4%	80s
25	HOFER Lukas	1%	3%	87s
13	SEPPALA Tero	1%	3%	90s
22	SEROKHVOSTOV Daniil	1%	3%	94s
26	BABIKOV Anton	<1%	2%	89s
24	LEITNER Felix	<1%	2%	94s
28	KRCMAR Michal	<1%	1%	100s
20	BORMOLINI Thomas	<1%	1%	111s
21	STROLIA Vytautas	<1%	1%	122s
	ANDERSEN Filip Fjeld	<1%	<1%	138s
	HIIDENSALO Olli	<1%	<1%	141s
30	HARTWEG Niklas	<1%	<1%	154s