Antholz-Anterselva BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 21.01.2022 women 15km Individual race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s women 15km Individual race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
11	HAUSER Lisa Theresa	12%	29%	0s
37	ALIMBEKAVA Dzinara	12%	28%	9s
16	WIERER Dorothea	10%	24%	16s
32	BESCOND Anais	7%	19%	35s
21	DAVIDOVA Marketa	6%	16%	49s
6	ECKHOFF Tiril	5%	14%	63s
28	BRAISAZ Justine	5%	13%	76s
4	SIMON Julia	5%	12%	78s
1	TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark	4%	13%	60s
34	BRORSSON Mona	4%	13%	54s
25	HILDEBRAND Franziska	4%	14%	48s
41	SOLA Hanna	3%	9%	101s
69	NIGMATULLINA Uliana	3%	10%	67s
55	DZHYMA Juliya	3%	10%	75s
39	CHEVALIER Chloe	2%	5%	113s
18	LIE Lotte	2%	8%	57s
8	VITTOZZI Lisa	1%	5%	112s
51	LIEN Ida	1%	4%	128s
24	VASNETCOVA Valeriia	1%	4%	121s
13	HETTICH Janina	1%	4%	114s
57	LAUKKANEN Mari	1%	3%	160s
23	BENDIKA Baiba	1%	3%	151s
26	HAECKI Lena	1%	2%	152s
14	JISLOVA Jessica	1%	3%	130s
44	KAZAKEVICH Irina	1%	2%	164s
46	KNOTTEN Karoline Offigstad	1%	3%	110s
30	STREMOUS Alina	<1%	2%	143s
49	LESHCHANKA Iryna	<1%	2%	134s
91	ERDAL Karoline	<1%	2%	151s
19	TODOROVA Milena	<1%	2%	166s