September 29, 2022

Antholz-Anterselva BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 20.01.2022 men 20km Individual race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 20km Individual race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib Name Country Chances of various positions Winning chance Chance for a medal Predicted seconds behind
58 FILLON MAILLET Quentin
16% 35% 5s
11 LAEGREID Sturla Holm
12% 34% 0s
44 BOE Johannes Thingnes
10% 25% 33s
21 BOE Tarjei
9% 23% 36s
42 JACQUELIN Emilien
8% 20% 48s
26 LOGINOV Alexander
7% 19% 50s
99 TSVETKOV Maxim
6% 18% 50s
9 CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad
4% 13% 68s
62 BAKKEN Sivert Guttorm
4% 12% 69s
39 DESTHIEUX Simon
3% 10% 85s
56 SMOLSKI Anton
2% 8% 102s
50 WEGER Benjamin
2% 9% 87s
14 DOLL Benedikt
2% 7% 116s
16 EDER Simon
2% 8% 74s
36 CLAUDE Fabien
2% 5% 137s
24 GUIGONNAT Antonin
1% 5% 124s
18 KHALILI Said Karimulla
1% 6% 100s
34 HOFER Lukas
1% 4% 128s
78 SEROKHVOSTOV Daniil
1% 4% 149s
31 LEITNER Felix
1% 4% 131s
53 POVARNITSYN Alexander
1% 4% 127s
2 SEPPALA Tero
1% 3% 156s
6 KRCMAR Michal
1% 3% 139s
4 BORMOLINI Thomas
<1% 3% 143s
64 HORN Philipp
<1% 2% 176s
30 BABIKOV Anton
<1% 2% 142s
10 FAK Jakov
<1% 2% 127s
91 ANDERSEN Filip Fjeld
<1% 1% 183s
60 DUDCHENKO Anton
<1% 1% 163s
29 CLAUDE Florent
<1% 1% 151s
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