Antholz-Anterselva BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 20.01.2022 men 20km Individual race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 20km Individual race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
58	FILLON MAILLET Quentin	16%	35%	5s
11	LAEGREID Sturla Holm	12%	34%	0s
44	BOE Johannes Thingnes	10%	25%	33s
21	BOE Tarjei	9%	23%	36s
42	JACQUELIN Emilien	8%	20%	48s
26	LOGINOV Alexander	7%	19%	50s
99	TSVETKOV Maxim	6%	18%	50s
9	CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad	4%	13%	68s
62	BAKKEN Sivert Guttorm	4%	12%	69s
39	DESTHIEUX Simon	3%	10%	85s
56	SMOLSKI Anton	2%	8%	102s
50	WEGER Benjamin	2%	9%	87s
14	DOLL Benedikt	2%	7%	116s
16	EDER Simon	2%	8%	74s
36	CLAUDE Fabien	2%	5%	137s
24	GUIGONNAT Antonin	1%	5%	124s
18	KHALILI Said Karimulla	1%	6%	100s
34	HOFER Lukas	1%	4%	128s
78	SEROKHVOSTOV Daniil	1%	4%	149s
31	LEITNER Felix	1%	4%	131s
53	POVARNITSYN Alexander	1%	4%	127s
2	SEPPALA Tero	1%	3%	156s
6	KRCMAR Michal	1%	3%	139s
4	BORMOLINI Thomas	<1%	3%	143s
64	HORN Philipp	<1%	2%	176s
30	BABIKOV Anton	<1%	2%	142s
10	FAK Jakov	<1%	2%	127s
91	ANDERSEN Filip Fjeld	<1%	1%	183s
60	DUDCHENKO Anton	<1%	1%	163s
29	CLAUDE Florent	<1%	1%	151s