May 17, 2022

Ruhpolding BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 16.01.2022 women 10km Pursuit race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s women 10km Pursuit race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib Gap Name Country Chances of various positions Winning chance Chance for a medal Predicted seconds behind
1 0 OEBERG Elvira
32% 59% 0s
2 22 ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu
17% 45% 16s
11 57 OEBERG Hanna
12% 35% 28s
4 30 ALIMBEKAVA Dzinara
8% 28% 36s
VITTOZZI Lisa
7% 23% 45s
3 30 WIERER Dorothea
5% 21% 45s
6 42 HAUSER Lisa Theresa
5% 20% 44s
5 40 BRAISAZ Justine
2% 9% 76s
SKOTTHEIM Johanna
2% 11% 59s
10 56 BRORSSON Mona
2% 9% 68s
14 68 CHEVALIER Anais
1% 6% 77s
23 83 SIMON Julia
1% 6% 84s
7 48 BESCOND Anais
1% 6% 79s
9 56 PERSSON Linn
1% 4% 84s
20 81 REZTSOVA Kristina
<1% 3% 94s
19 81 ECKHOFF Tiril
<1% 3% 94s
CHU Yuanmeng
<1% 3% 80s
8 51 MIRONOVA Svetlana
<1% 2% 105s
VOBORNIKOVA Tereza
<1% 2% 98s
17 78 HILDEBRAND Franziska
<1% 1% 95s
24 87 HERRMANN Denise
<1% 1% 117s
36 104 SOLA Hanna
<1% 1% 129s
MERKUSHYNA Anastasiya
<1% 1% 115s
16 78 CHEVALIER Chloe
<1% <1% 127s
12 65 KNOTTEN Karoline Offigstad
<1% <1% 114s
27 91 DAVIDOVA Marketa
<1% <1% 126s
OJA Regina
<1% <1% 135s
MENG Fanqi
<1% <1% 107s
TALIHAERM Johanna
<1% <1% 142s
25 88 MAGNUSSON Anna
<1% <1% 137s
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