September 29, 2022

Ruhpolding BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 16.01.2022 men 12.5km Pursuit race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 12.5km Pursuit race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib Gap Name Country Chances of various positions Winning chance Chance for a medal Predicted seconds behind
1 0 FILLON MAILLET Quentin
54% 78% 0s
2 7 DOLL Benedikt
9% 31% 52s
18 62 SAMUELSSON Sebastian
5% 21% 65s
3 32 SMOLSKI Anton
4% 17% 71s
9 50 DESTHIEUX Simon
4% 18% 67s
6 43 LESSER Erik
4% 19% 66s
7 47 PIDRUCHNYI Dmytro
3% 15% 74s
21 66 TSVETKOV Maxim
2% 14% 71s
15 61 BJOENTEGAARD Erlend
2% 9% 84s
14 58 PONSILUOMA Martin
2% 8% 94s
12 54 EDER Simon
1% 9% 77s
11 54 ANDERSEN Aleksander Fjeld
1% 8% 89s
53 103 JACQUELIN Emilien
1% 6% 91s
32 80 LOGINOV Alexander
1% 6% 94s
RUNNALLS Adam
1% 5% 107s
37 82 CLAUDE Fabien
1% 5% 102s
5 42 SEPPALA Tero
1% 4% 104s
16 61 HOFER Lukas
1% 4% 101s
20 64 REES Roman
<1% 3% 101s
40 83 DALE Johannes
<1% 2% 113s
24 71 ZOBEL David
<1% 2% 118s
35 81 KHALILI Said Karimulla
<1% 2% 107s
8 49 PERROT Eric
<1% 2% 116s
4 34 STROLIA Vytautas
<1% 1% 131s
23 71 SEROKHVOSTOV Daniil
<1% 1% 134s
41 85 NAWRATH Philipp
<1% 1% 125s
31 79 POVARNITSYN Alexander
<1% 1% 118s
33 80 BORMOLINI Thomas
<1% 1% 122s
50 94 GUIGONNAT Antonin
<1% 1% 124s
26 75 DUDCHENKO Anton
<1% 1% 121s
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