by The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 4×7.5km Relay race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:
| Bib | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Predicted seconds behind | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FRANCE |
|
38% | 76% | 0s | |
| 3 | RUSSIA |
|
20% | 60% | 21s | |
| 4 | GERMANY |
|
19% | 58% | 23s | |
| 5 | SWEDEN |
|
12% | 43% | 43s | |
| 1 | NORWAY |
|
8% | 37% | 46s | |
| 6 | UKRAINE |
|
1% | 12% | 81s | |
| 7 | BELARUS |
|
1% | 7% | 98s | |
| 8 | ITALY |
|
1% | 5% | 111s | |
| 14 | CANADA |
|
<1% | 1% | 144s | |
| 9 | CZECH REPUBLIC |
|
<1% | 1% | 176s | |
| 10 | SWITZERLAND |
|
<1% | <1% | 180s | |
| 17 | AUSTRIA |
|
<1% | <1% | 194s | |
| 11 | SLOVENIA |
|
<1% | <1% | 221s | |
| 15 | FINLAND |
|
<1% | <1% | 217s | |
| 12 | USA |
|
0% | 0% | 294s | |
| 16 | ESTONIA |
|
0% | <1% | 297s | |
| 18 | LITHUANIA |
|
0% | <1% | 279s | |
| 19 | JAPAN |
|
0% | 0% | 396s | |
| 20 | BULGARIA |
|
0% | 0% | 299s | |
| 21 | CHINA |
|
0% | 0% | 335s | |
| 22 | POLAND |
|
0% | 0% | 335s | |
| 23 | SLOVAKIA |
|
0% | 0% | 359s | |
| 24 | KAZAKHSTAN |
|
0% | 0% | 383s | |
| 25 | MOLDOVA |
|
0% | 0% | 403s |
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