by The biathlon model has simulated today’s women 4x6km Relay race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:
| Bib | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Predicted seconds behind | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FRANCE |
|
52% | 82% | 0s | |
| 5 | GERMANY |
|
15% | 54% | 40s | |
| 4 | BELARUS |
|
10% | 42% | 58s | |
| 3 | RUSSIA |
|
10% | 42% | 59s | |
| 2 | SWEDEN |
|
6% | 32% | 68s | |
| 6 | NORWAY |
|
4% | 24% | 79s | |
| 9 | ITALY |
|
2% | 17% | 91s | |
| 8 | CZECH REPUBLIC |
|
<1% | 4% | 125s | |
| 12 | SWITZERLAND |
|
<1% | 1% | 166s | |
| 7 | UKRAINE |
|
<1% | <1% | 170s | |
| 14 | FINLAND |
|
<1% | <1% | 220s | |
| 17 | POLAND |
|
<1% | <1% | 228s | |
| 24 | KOREA |
|
0% | 0% | 557s | |
| 16 | CANADA |
|
0% | <1% | 314s | |
| 13 | USA |
|
0% | <1% | 329s | |
| 15 | CHINA |
|
0% | 0% | 277s | |
| 22 | SLOVAKIA |
|
0% | 0% | 328s | |
| 21 | ROMANIA |
|
0% | 0% | 387s | |
| 19 | KAZAKHSTAN |
|
0% | 0% | 367s | |
| 18 | JAPAN |
|
0% | 0% | 384s | |
| 11 | ESTONIA |
|
0% | <1% | 233s | |
| 10 | AUSTRIA |
|
0% | <1% | 269s | |
| 20 | BULGARIA |
|
0% | 0% | 395s |
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