Ruhpolding BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 14.01.2022 women 4x6 Relay race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s women 4x6km Relay race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Country	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
1	FRANCE	52%	82%	0s
5	GERMANY	15%	54%	40s
4	BELARUS	10%	42%	58s
3	RUSSIA	10%	42%	59s
2	SWEDEN	6%	32%	68s
6	NORWAY	4%	24%	79s
9	ITALY	2%	17%	91s
8	CZECH REPUBLIC	<1%	4%	125s
12	SWITZERLAND	<1%	1%	166s
7	UKRAINE	<1%	<1%	170s
14	FINLAND	<1%	<1%	220s
17	POLAND	<1%	<1%	228s
24	KOREA	0%	0%	557s
16	CANADA	0%	<1%	314s
13	USA	0%	<1%	329s
15	CHINA	0%	0%	277s
22	SLOVAKIA	0%	0%	328s
21	ROMANIA	0%	0%	387s
19	KAZAKHSTAN	0%	0%	367s
18	JAPAN	0%	0%	384s
11	ESTONIA	0%	<1%	233s
10	AUSTRIA	0%	<1%	269s
20	BULGARIA	0%	0%	395s