Ruhpolding BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 13.01.2022 men 10km Sprint race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 10km Sprint race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
4	SAMUELSSON Sebastian	16%	37%	0s
17	FILLON MAILLET Quentin	15%	35%	1s
16	JACQUELIN Emilien	12%	30%	6s
6	LOGINOV Alexander	10%	27%	8s
30	DESTHIEUX Simon	5%	15%	21s
7	PONSILUOMA Martin	4%	12%	31s
50	CLAUDE Fabien	3%	11%	31s
63	DOLL Benedikt	3%	11%	29s
43	SMOLSKI Anton	3%	10%	30s
22	NAWRATH Philipp	3%	9%	33s
40	GUIGONNAT Antonin	2%	8%	34s
57	TSVETKOV Maxim	2%	8%	33s
38	ANDERSEN Aleksander Fjeld	2%	7%	37s
31	LESSER Erik	2%	7%	34s
11	PIDRUCHNYI Dmytro	2%	6%	38s
15	BJOENTEGAARD Erlend	2%	6%	36s
55	SEROKHVOSTOV Daniil	1%	5%	45s
20	DALE Johannes	1%	5%	40s
35	HOFER Lukas	1%	4%	45s
47	REES Roman	1%	4%	41s
18	SEPPALA Tero	1%	4%	47s
93	KHALILI Said Karimulla	1%	4%	44s
	ANDERSEN Filip Fjeld	1%	3%	48s
19	NELIN Jesper	1%	3%	54s
76	HORN Philipp	1%	3%	53s
98	POVARNITSYN Alexander	1%	3%	50s
26	KRCMAR Michal	1%	2%	50s
2	EDER Simon	1%	2%	46s
5	STROLIA Vytautas	1%	2%	58s
34	BORMOLINI Thomas	<1%	2%	53s