Oberhof BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 09.01.2022 women 10km Pursuit race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 10km Pursuit race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Gap	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
1	0	ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu	26%	53%	0s
9	34	OEBERG Hanna	15%	39%	18s
3	7	SIMON Julia	10%	28%	33s
15	47	OEBERG Elvira	9%	26%	36s
4	23	ALIMBEKAVA Dzinara	8%	26%	34s
2	7	SOLA Hanna	7%	21%	47s
6	26	CHEVALIER Anais	6%	20%	45s
7	27	REZTSOVA Kristina	6%	19%	46s
5	23	TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark	3%	13%	56s
10	38	WIERER Dorothea	3%	14%	55s
18	67	HAUSER Lisa Theresa	2%	9%	66s
11	44	DAVIDOVA Marketa	2%	8%	73s
17	57	BESCOND Anais	1%	5%	83s
34	87	BRAISAZ Justine	1%	3%	100s
26	79	HERRMANN Denise	<1%	2%	101s
14	47	NILSSON Stina	<1%	2%	106s
22	74	BRORSSON Mona	<1%	3%	96s
8	28	LAUKKANEN Mari	<1%	2%	110s
21	74	DZHYMA Juliya	<1%	2%	105s
12	45	VOIGT Vanessa	<1%	1%	100s
25	78	HINZ Vanessa	<1%	1%	111s
16	49	LESHCHANKA Iryna	<1%	1%	116s
33	85	MIRONOVA Svetlana	<1%	<1%	135s
20	72	JISLOVA Jessica	<1%	<1%	128s
23	75	CHEVALIER Chloe	<1%	<1%	139s
32	84	LIEN Ida	<1%	<1%	146s
30	83	KAZAKEVICH Irina	<1%	<1%	140s
24	77	VASNETCOVA Valeriia	<1%	<1%	142s
38	95	BENDIKA Baiba	<1%	<1%	145s
27	81	FIALKOVA Paulina	<1%	<1%	149s