Oberhof BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 09.01.2022 men 12.5km Pursuit race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 12.5km Pursuit race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Gap	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
2	7	JACQUELIN Emilien	27%	56%	0s
9	30	FILLON MAILLET Quentin	18%	46%	12s
7	24	BOE Tarjei	14%	39%	20s
3	15	LAEGREID Sturla Holm	13%	40%	18s
1	0	LOGINOV Alexander	11%	32%	27s
14	54	SAMUELSSON Sebastian	3%	14%	57s
28	82	BOE Johannes Thingnes	3%	13%	56s
16	59	CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad	3%	14%	53s
4	19	KUEHN Johannes	2%	9%	70s
15	57	LESSER Erik	2%	9%	66s
5	20	REES Roman	1%	7%	72s
8	26	SEROKHVOSTOV Daniil	1%	5%	86s
23	71	CLAUDE Fabien	1%	4%	88s
25	77	BAKKEN Sivert Guttorm	1%	4%	81s
6	23	BABIKOV Anton	<1%	3%	91s
13	47	BORMOLINI Thomas	<1%	2%	97s
10	38	ANDERSEN Filip Fjeld	<1%	1%	130s
11	41	CLAUDE Florent	<1%	1%	120s
30	85	KRCMAR Michal	<1%	<1%	121s
18	63	FAK Jakov	<1%	<1%	118s
38	102	DOLL Benedikt	<1%	<1%	129s
26	78	DUDCHENKO Anton	<1%	<1%	133s
47	120	DESTHIEUX Simon	<1%	<1%	140s
44	113	PIDRUCHNYI Dmytro	<1%	<1%	142s
37	101	SEPPALA Tero	<1%	<1%	149s
12	42	CHENG Fangming	<1%	<1%	151s
46	118	SMOLSKI Anton	<1%	<1%	151s
40	108	POVARNITSYN Alexander	<1%	<1%	146s
19	65	TSYMBAL Bogdan	<1%	<1%	154s
35	96	GIACOMEL Tommaso	<1%	<1%	161s