Oberhof BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 08.01.2022 Single Mixed Relay race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s Single Mixed Relay in Oberhof 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Country	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
7	RUSSIA	33%	71%	0s
2	FRANCE	27%	67%	7s
4	AUSTRIA	16%	50%	17s
3	NORWAY	12%	47%	27s
5	GERMANY	11%	48%	21s
1	SWEDEN	<1%	4%	85s
13	BELGIUM	<1%	3%	75s
8	UKRAINE	<1%	3%	74s
9	ITALY	<1%	1%	111s
6	BELARUS	<1%	1%	97s
18	LATVIA	<1%	1%	120s
26	KOREA	<1%	1%	110s
20	SLOVAKIA	<1%	1%	122s
25	BULGARIA	<1%	1%	122s
24	CZECH REPUBLIC	<1%	<1%	127s
10	CANADA	<1%	<1%	129s
11	USA	<1%	<1%	148s
21	SLOVENIA	<1%	<1%	145s
16	JAPAN	<1%	<1%	190s
23	POLAND	0%	<1%	221s
14	ESTONIA	0%	0%	228s
22	MOLDOVA	0%	<1%	148s
19	ROMANIA	0%	0%	190s
17	FINLAND	0%	0%	196s
15	KAZAKHSTAN	0%	0%	265s
12	SWITZERLAND	0%	<1%	156s
27	CHINA	0%	0%	242s