The biathlon model has simulated today’s Single Mixed Relay in Oberhof 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:
Bib | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Predicted seconds behind | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | RUSSIA |
|
33% | 71% | 0s | |
2 | FRANCE |
|
27% | 67% | 7s | |
4 | AUSTRIA |
|
16% | 50% | 17s | |
3 | NORWAY |
|
12% | 47% | 27s | |
5 | GERMANY |
|
11% | 48% | 21s | |
1 | SWEDEN |
|
<1% | 4% | 85s | |
13 | BELGIUM |
|
<1% | 3% | 75s | |
8 | UKRAINE |
|
<1% | 3% | 74s | |
9 | ITALY |
|
<1% | 1% | 111s | |
6 | BELARUS |
|
<1% | 1% | 97s | |
18 | LATVIA |
|
<1% | 1% | 120s | |
26 | KOREA |
|
<1% | 1% | 110s | |
20 | SLOVAKIA |
|
<1% | 1% | 122s | |
25 | BULGARIA |
|
<1% | 1% | 122s | |
24 | CZECH REPUBLIC |
|
<1% | <1% | 127s | |
10 | CANADA |
|
<1% | <1% | 129s | |
11 | USA |
|
<1% | <1% | 148s | |
21 | SLOVENIA |
|
<1% | <1% | 145s | |
16 | JAPAN |
|
<1% | <1% | 190s | |
23 | POLAND |
|
0% | <1% | 221s | |
14 | ESTONIA |
|
0% | 0% | 228s | |
22 | MOLDOVA |
|
0% | <1% | 148s | |
19 | ROMANIA |
|
0% | 0% | 190s | |
17 | FINLAND |
|
0% | 0% | 196s | |
15 | KAZAKHSTAN |
|
0% | 0% | 265s | |
12 | SWITZERLAND |
|
0% | <1% | 156s | |
27 | CHINA |
|
0% | 0% | 242s |