Oberhof BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 07.01.2022 men 10km Sprint race preview

The biathlon model has simulated today’s men 10km sprint race 300 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
38	BOE Johannes Thingnes	21%	45%	0s
50	SAMUELSSON Sebastian	14%	33%	10s
28	FILLON MAILLET Quentin	8%	24%	19s
40	JACQUELIN Emilien	7%	21%	22s
62	BOE Tarjei	7%	20%	22s
46	CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad	5%	16%	27s
7	LAEGREID Sturla Holm	4%	16%	24s
52	DESTHIEUX Simon	4%	15%	29s
56	LOGINOV Alexander	4%	14%	30s
32	PONSILUOMA Martin	3%	11%	40s
16	GUIGONNAT Antonin	2%	8%	40s
23	CLAUDE Fabien	2%	7%	47s
1	SMOLSKI Anton	2%	7%	44s
54	DOLL Benedikt	2%	6%	47s
34	NAWRATH Philipp	2%	6%	46s
21	BAKKEN Sivert Guttorm	2%	6%	44s
30	KUEHN Johannes	1%	5%	51s
5	LESSER Erik	1%	4%	52s
44	PIDRUCHNYI Dmytro	1%	3%	55s
25	POVARNITSYN Alexander	1%	3%	54s
43	SEPPALA Tero	1%	3%	60s
49	NELIN Jesper	1%	2%	64s
27	SEROKHVOSTOV Daniil	<1%	2%	67s
59	KHALILI Said Karimulla	<1%	2%	60s
12	ANDERSEN Filip Fjeld	<1%	2%	65s
37	KRCMAR Michal	<1%	2%	61s
36	LEITNER Felix	<1%	2%	63s
73	EDER Simon	<1%	2%	59s
89	REES Roman	<1%	1%	66s
58	STROLIA Vytautas	<1%	1%	75s