Annecy-Le Grand Bornand BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 19.12.2021 women 12.5km Mass Start race preview

Sportindepth’s biathlon model has simulated today’s women 12.5km Mass Start race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
6	OEBERG Hanna	21%	45%	0s
2	OEBERG Elvira	17%	38%	9s
1	ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu	15%	38%	9s
5	HAUSER Lisa Theresa	7%	23%	27s
7	BRAISAZ Justine	6%	17%	44s
3	ALIMBEKAVA Dzinara	5%	16%	41s
22	SIMON Julia	4%	13%	53s
16	WIERER Dorothea	4%	14%	44s
11	VITTOZZI Lisa	4%	13%	50s
8	CHEVALIER Anais	3%	12%	52s
10	REZTSOVA Kristina	3%	11%	54s
4	SOLA Hanna	2%	8%	70s
18	TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark	2%	8%	62s
13	BRORSSON Mona	1%	6%	69s
12	NIGMATULLINA Uliana	1%	5%	72s
9	DAVIDOVA Marketa	1%	4%	78s
25	DZHYMA Juliya	1%	5%	74s
19	HINZ Vanessa	1%	5%	71s
30	NILSSON Stina	1%	3%	97s
20	MIRONOVA Svetlana	1%	2%	95s
14	VOIGT Vanessa	<1%	2%	80s
15	LIE Lotte	<1%	2%	77s
21	JISLOVA Jessica	<1%	2%	93s
17	MAGNUSSON Anna	<1%	2%	100s
24	KAZAKEVICH Irina	<1%	1%	102s
26	LAUKKANEN Mari	<1%	1%	111s
27	BLASHKO Darya	<1%	1%	99s
23	BILOSIUK Olena	<1%	1%	105s
28	FIALKOVA Ivona	<1%	<1%	136s
29	TACHIZAKI Fuyuko	<1%	<1%	146s