Sportindepth’s biathlon model has simulated today’s men 15km Mass Start race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:
Bib | Name | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Predicted seconds behind |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | FILLON MAILLET Quentin |
|
17% | 40% | 0s | |
3 | JACQUELIN Emilien |
|
16% | 37% | 4s | |
6 | BOE Johannes Thingnes |
|
11% | 30% | 12s | |
4 | CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad |
|
9% | 26% | 16s | |
7 | BOE Tarjei |
|
6% | 19% | 27s | |
2 | SAMUELSSON Sebastian |
|
6% | 18% | 32s | |
8 | LAEGREID Sturla Holm |
|
4% | 16% | 28s | |
9 | DESTHIEUX Simon |
|
4% | 14% | 38s | |
11 | LOGINOV Alexander |
|
4% | 12% | 42s | |
5 | LATYPOV Eduard |
|
3% | 11% | 46s | |
15 | BAKKEN Sivert Guttorm |
|
2% | 10% | 45s | |
16 | GUIGONNAT Antonin |
|
2% | 8% | 55s | |
19 | PONSILUOMA Martin |
|
2% | 7% | 62s | |
10 | SMOLSKI Anton |
|
2% | 7% | 57s | |
13 | CLAUDE Fabien |
|
2% | 6% | 66s | |
20 | EDER Simon |
|
1% | 6% | 52s | |
22 | DOLL Benedikt |
|
1% | 5% | 66s | |
28 | LESSER Erik |
|
1% | 4% | 64s | |
POVARNITSYN Alexander |
|
1% | 4% | 68s | ||
18 | NAWRATH Philipp |
|
1% | 3% | 77s | |
14 | WEGER Benjamin |
|
1% | 3% | 73s | |
21 | KHALILI Said Karimulla |
|
1% | 3% | 69s | |
12 | KUEHN Johannes |
|
1% | 3% | 84s | |
24 | REES Roman |
|
<1% | 2% | 84s | |
23 | HOFER Lukas |
|
<1% | 2% | 91s | |
17 | SEPPALA Tero |
|
<1% | 1% | 95s | |
30 | SEROKHVOSTOV Daniil |
|
<1% | 1% | 102s | |
26 | ANDERSEN Filip Fjeld |
|
<1% | 1% | 106s | |
25 | LEITNER Felix |
|
<1% | 1% | 99s | |
29 | BORMOLINI Thomas |
|
<1% | 1% | 105s |