Annecy-Le Grand Bornand BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 17.12.2021 men 10km Sprint race preview

Our biathlon model has simulated today’s men 10km sprint race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
16	SAMUELSSON Sebastian	17%	38%	0s
12	BOE Johannes Thingnes	14%	34%	3s
34	JACQUELIN Emilien	8%	23%	14s
31	FILLON MAILLET Quentin	8%	22%	14s
24	PONSILUOMA Martin	6%	17%	24s
21	BOE Tarjei	5%	17%	19s
39	DESTHIEUX Simon	5%	16%	22s
29	CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad	4%	14%	22s
37	LOGINOV Alexander	3%	11%	28s
62	LAEGREID Sturla Holm	3%	11%	24s
49	CLAUDE Fabien	2%	8%	38s
47	GUIGONNAT Antonin	2%	8%	34s
7	LATYPOV Eduard	2%	7%	37s
26	SMOLSKI Anton	2%	6%	41s
51	DOLL Benedikt	2%	6%	43s
32	NAWRATH Philipp	1%	6%	42s
57	BAKKEN Sivert Guttorm	1%	5%	39s
18	KUEHN Johannes	1%	4%	49s
	PIDRUCHNYI Dmytro	1%	4%	47s
4	SEPPALA Tero	1%	3%	51s
36	KRCMAR Michal	1%	3%	46s
99	LESSER Erik	1%	3%	47s
9	WEGER Benjamin	1%	3%	46s
19	NELIN Jesper	1%	3%	55s
30	HOFER Lukas	1%	2%	53s
25	TOMSHIN Vasilii	1%	2%	54s
2	REES Roman	1%	2%	50s
14	EDER Simon	1%	2%	49s
94	POVARNITSYN Alexander	<1%	2%	58s
59	ANDERSEN Filip Fjeld	<1%	2%	60s