Sportindepth’s biathlon model has simulated today’s women 10km pursuit race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:
Bib | Gap | Name | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Predicted seconds behind |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 57 | OEBERG Hanna |
|
26% | 55% | 0s | |
1 | 0 | SOLA Hanna |
|
19% | 41% | 16s | |
3 | 50 | ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu |
|
15% | 41% | 15s | |
2 | 47 | BRAISAZ Justine |
|
9% | 26% | 37s | |
8 | 68 | ALIMBEKAVA Dzinara |
|
6% | 21% | 42s | |
17 | 96 | OEBERG Elvira |
|
5% | 19% | 46s | |
18 | 99 | PREUSS Franziska |
|
5% | 20% | 40s | |
6 | 67 | ECKHOFF Tiril |
|
3% | 14% | 54s | |
7 | 67 | VITTOZZI Lisa |
|
2% | 10% | 65s | |
26 | 107 | HAUSER Lisa Theresa |
|
2% | 9% | 61s | |
11 | 80 | BRORSSON Mona |
|
1% | 8% | 67s | |
9 | 72 | BENDIKA Baiba |
|
1% | 5% | 80s | |
13 | 90 | HERRMANN Denise |
|
1% | 5% | 81s | |
15 | 93 | DZHYMA Juliya |
|
1% | 4% | 78s | |
4 | 53 | LIEN Ida |
|
1% | 4% | 88s | |
14 | 92 | BESCOND Anais |
|
<1% | 3% | 86s | |
20 | 101 | DAVIDOVA Marketa |
|
<1% | 2% | 96s | |
10 | 79 | HINZ Vanessa |
|
<1% | 2% | 88s | |
12 | 87 | MAGNUSSON Anna |
|
<1% | 2% | 104s | |
33 | 124 | WIERER Dorothea |
|
<1% | 2% | 95s | |
16 | 93 | NILSSON Stina |
|
<1% | 1% | 118s | |
22 | 102 | REZTSOVA Kristina |
|
<1% | 1% | 108s | |
28 | 112 | PERSSON Linn |
|
<1% | 1% | 102s | |
25 | 106 | CHEVALIER Chloe |
|
<1% | 1% | 120s | |
21 | 101 | COLOMBO Caroline |
|
<1% | 1% | 124s | |
19 | 101 | KAZAKEVICH Irina |
|
<1% | <1% | 126s | |
24 | 104 | BILOSIUK Olena |
|
<1% | <1% | 120s | |
31 | 120 | HAECKI Lena |
|
<1% | <1% | 138s | |
30 | 117 | NIGMATULLINA Uliana |
|
<1% | <1% | 126s | |
32 | 124 | CHARVATOVA Lucie |
|
<1% | <1% | 180s |