Hochfilzen BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 12.12.2021 women 10km Pursuit race preview

Sportindepth’s biathlon model has simulated today’s women 10km pursuit race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Gap	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
5	57	OEBERG Hanna	26%	55%	0s
1	0	SOLA Hanna	19%	41%	16s
3	50	ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu	15%	41%	15s
2	47	BRAISAZ Justine	9%	26%	37s
8	68	ALIMBEKAVA Dzinara	6%	21%	42s
17	96	OEBERG Elvira	5%	19%	46s
18	99	PREUSS Franziska	5%	20%	40s
6	67	ECKHOFF Tiril	3%	14%	54s
7	67	VITTOZZI Lisa	2%	10%	65s
26	107	HAUSER Lisa Theresa	2%	9%	61s
11	80	BRORSSON Mona	1%	8%	67s
9	72	BENDIKA Baiba	1%	5%	80s
13	90	HERRMANN Denise	1%	5%	81s
15	93	DZHYMA Juliya	1%	4%	78s
4	53	LIEN Ida	1%	4%	88s
14	92	BESCOND Anais	<1%	3%	86s
20	101	DAVIDOVA Marketa	<1%	2%	96s
10	79	HINZ Vanessa	<1%	2%	88s
12	87	MAGNUSSON Anna	<1%	2%	104s
33	124	WIERER Dorothea	<1%	2%	95s
16	93	NILSSON Stina	<1%	1%	118s
22	102	REZTSOVA Kristina	<1%	1%	108s
28	112	PERSSON Linn	<1%	1%	102s
25	106	CHEVALIER Chloe	<1%	1%	120s
21	101	COLOMBO Caroline	<1%	1%	124s
19	101	KAZAKEVICH Irina	<1%	<1%	126s
24	104	BILOSIUK Olena	<1%	<1%	120s
31	120	HAECKI Lena	<1%	<1%	138s
30	117	NIGMATULLINA Uliana	<1%	<1%	126s
32	124	CHARVATOVA Lucie	<1%	<1%	180s