Hochfilzen BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 11.12.2021 men 12.5km Pursuit race preview

Sportindepth’s biathlon model has simulated today’s men 12.5km pursuit race 500 000 times to provide the following prediction table:

Bib	Gap	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
6	24	JACQUELIN Emilien	31%	58%	0s
7	25	FILLON MAILLET Quentin	19%	44%	14s
14	45	SAMUELSSON Sebastian	10%	30%	31s
5	23	BOE Tarjei	6%	22%	39s
4	22	LOGINOV Alexander	6%	21%	43s
2	14	PONSILUOMA Martin	5%	18%	51s
16	52	CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad	4%	16%	48s
24	61	DESTHIEUX Simon	3%	13%	54s
1	0	KUEHN Johannes	3%	11%	64s
15	52	CLAUDE Fabien	2%	9%	68s
30	74	BOE Johannes Thingnes	2%	10%	60s
3	21	SMOLSKI Anton	2%	8%	70s
20	56	LAEGREID Sturla Holm	2%	10%	54s
8	40	NAWRATH Philipp	1%	6%	75s
13	44	WEGER Benjamin	1%	6%	73s
10	41	LATYPOV Eduard	1%	6%	76s
18	56	PIDRUCHNYI Dmytro	1%	5%	79s
21	56	REES Roman	<1%	2%	90s
33	79	GUIGONNAT Antonin	<1%	1%	102s
23	61	HOFER Lukas	<1%	1%	108s
22	58	HORN Philipp	<1%	1%	114s
27	70	DUDCHENKO Anton	<1%	1%	106s
34	82	LESSER Erik	<1%	<1%	112s
29	74	SEPPALA Tero	<1%	<1%	125s
40	91	EDER Simon	<1%	<1%	103s
32	76	LEITNER Felix	<1%	<1%	120s
36	84	BAKKEN Sivert Guttorm	<1%	<1%	119s
17	54	PRYMA Artem	<1%	<1%	127s
25	64	KHALILI Said Karimulla	<1%	<1%	123s
26	64	BORMOLINI Thomas	<1%	<1%	127s