Our biathlon model has simulated today’s men 12.5km pursuit race 500 000 times to provide the prediction table. You can see a prediction table below.
Bib | Gap | Name | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Predicted seconds behind |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 0 | SAMUELSSON Sebastian |
|
25% | 54% | 0s | |
2 | 18 | JACQUELIN Emilien |
|
22% | 52% | 2s | |
3 | 22 | FILLON MAILLET Quentin |
|
17% | 45% | 9s | |
5 | 31 | CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad |
|
9% | 30% | 25s | |
9 | 50 | BOE Johannes Thingnes |
|
8% | 29% | 27s | |
8 | 44 | BOE Tarjei |
|
6% | 24% | 32s | |
6 | 41 | LAEGREID Sturla Holm |
|
3% | 15% | 41s | |
11 | 53 | PONSILUOMA Martin |
|
1% | 7% | 72s | |
4 | 26 | LATYPOV Eduard |
|
1% | 7% | 67s | |
13 | 56 | LOGINOV Alexander |
|
1% | 7% | 64s | |
23 | 79 | DESTHIEUX Simon |
|
1% | 6% | 67s | |
25 | 80 | CLAUDE Fabien |
|
1% | 4% | 84s | |
14 | 57 | DOLL Benedikt |
|
1% | 4% | 82s | |
20 | 74 | GUIGONNAT Antonin |
|
<1% | 3% | 88s | |
19 | 66 | BAKKEN Sivert Guttorm |
|
<1% | 3% | 77s | |
7 | 42 | HOFER Lukas |
|
<1% | 2% | 97s | |
10 | 51 | WEGER Benjamin |
|
<1% | 1% | 97s | |
18 | 65 | REES Roman |
|
<1% | 1% | 98s | |
15 | 59 | KRCMAR Michal |
|
<1% | 1% | 102s | |
24 | 79 | PIDRUCHNYI Dmytro |
|
<1% | 1% | 108s | |
12 | 55 | KUEHN Johannes |
|
<1% | <1% | 121s | |
27 | 82 | EDER Simon |
|
<1% | 1% | 94s | |
16 | 60 | SEPPALA Tero |
|
<1% | <1% | 121s | |
40 | 103 | DALE Johannes |
|
<1% | <1% | 115s | |
31 | 88 | NELIN Jesper |
|
<1% | <1% | 131s | |
38 | 96 | NAWRATH Philipp |
|
<1% | <1% | 127s | |
35 | 91 | LEITNER Felix |
|
<1% | <1% | 126s | |
30 | 84 | HORN Philipp |
|
<1% | <1% | 145s | |
48 | 117 | LESSER Erik |
|
<1% | <1% | 134s | |
26 | 80 | GIACOMEL Tommaso |
|
<1% | <1% | 151s |