Oestersund BMW IBU World Cup Biathlon 05.12.2021 men 12.5km Pursuit race preview

Our biathlon model has simulated today’s men 12.5km pursuit race 500 000 times to provide the prediction table. You can see a prediction table below.

Bib	Gap	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Predicted seconds behind
1	0	SAMUELSSON Sebastian	25%	54%	0s
2	18	JACQUELIN Emilien	22%	52%	2s
3	22	FILLON MAILLET Quentin	17%	45%	9s
5	31	CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad	9%	30%	25s
9	50	BOE Johannes Thingnes	8%	29%	27s
8	44	BOE Tarjei	6%	24%	32s
6	41	LAEGREID Sturla Holm	3%	15%	41s
11	53	PONSILUOMA Martin	1%	7%	72s
4	26	LATYPOV Eduard	1%	7%	67s
13	56	LOGINOV Alexander	1%	7%	64s
23	79	DESTHIEUX Simon	1%	6%	67s
25	80	CLAUDE Fabien	1%	4%	84s
14	57	DOLL Benedikt	1%	4%	82s
20	74	GUIGONNAT Antonin	<1%	3%	88s
19	66	BAKKEN Sivert Guttorm	<1%	3%	77s
7	42	HOFER Lukas	<1%	2%	97s
10	51	WEGER Benjamin	<1%	1%	97s
18	65	REES Roman	<1%	1%	98s
15	59	KRCMAR Michal	<1%	1%	102s
24	79	PIDRUCHNYI Dmytro	<1%	1%	108s
12	55	KUEHN Johannes	<1%	<1%	121s
27	82	EDER Simon	<1%	1%	94s
16	60	SEPPALA Tero	<1%	<1%	121s
40	103	DALE Johannes	<1%	<1%	115s
31	88	NELIN Jesper	<1%	<1%	131s
38	96	NAWRATH Philipp	<1%	<1%	127s
35	91	LEITNER Felix	<1%	<1%	126s
30	84	HORN Philipp	<1%	<1%	145s
48	117	LESSER Erik	<1%	<1%	134s
26	80	GIACOMEL Tommaso	<1%	<1%	151s