Today’s women race just finished and you can compare results with predictions we published 90 minutes before that race has started and which is available here.
Below you can see the results of 300 000 simulations that were made by our biathlon model for the men’s Individual.
To see the simulation of the entire World Cup season, to take a look at how we think the World Cup will end that a look here.
Bib | Name | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Predicted seconds behind |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | BOE Johannes Thingnes | 21% | 42% | 2s | ||
34 | LAEGREID Sturla Holm | 17% | 41% | 0s | ||
28 | BOE Tarjei | 11% | 28% | 37s | ||
6 | FILLON MAILLET Quentin | 9% | 23% | 49s | ||
41 | DALE Johannes | 6% | 16% | 77s | ||
24 | JACQUELIN Emilien | 5% | 16% | 77s | ||
17 | SAMUELSSON Sebastian | 4% | 13% | 88s | ||
49 | FAK Jakov | 4% | 14% | 72s | ||
57 | DESTHIEUX Simon | 3% | 11% | 97s | ||
12 | DOLL Benedikt | 2% | 8% | 122s | ||
42 | LOGINOV Alexander | 2% | 8% | 107s | ||
63 | CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad | 2% | 8% | 108s | ||
105 | LESSER Erik | 2% | 7% | 114s | ||
16 | HOFER Lukas | 2% | 7% | 128s | ||
8 | PONSILUOMA Martin | 1% | 5% | 152s | ||
10 | NAWRATH Philipp | 1% | 5% | 141s | ||
56 | GUIGONNAT Antonin | 1% | 5% | 143s | ||
18 | EDER Simon | 1% | 6% | 100s | ||
31 | LATYPOV Eduard | 1% | 4% | 158s | ||
7 | REES Roman | 1% | 4% | 131s | ||
25 | WEGER Benjamin | <1% | 3% | 156s | ||
13 | GARANICHEV Evgeniy | <1% | 3% | 147s | ||
15 | KRCMAR Michal | <1% | 3% | 160s | ||
35 | CLAUDE Fabien | <1% | 2% | 198s | ||
50 | SMOLSKI Anton | <1% | 2% | 189s | ||
68 | ELISEEV Matvey | <1% | 2% | 160s | ||
27 | PIDRUCHNYI Dmytro | <1% | 2% | 185s | ||
19 | LEITNER Felix | <1% | 1% | 187s | ||
45 | FINELLO Jeremy | <1% | 1% | 227s | ||
36 | NELIN Jesper | <1% | 1% | 231s |