July 23, 2021

Oestersund BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 21.03.2021 men 15km Mass Start race preview

The last men’s race of the season will start in Swedish Oestersund today and it will be mass start.

There will be fight for the World Cup trophy between two Norwegians – Johannes Thingnes Boe and this season sensation Sturla Holm Laegreid.

Our biathlon model thinks Johannes Thingnes is a favourite with 26% chance to win and 52% chance to get any medal, while Sturla Holm has 12% chance to win and 35% chance for a medal.

French Quentin Fillon Maillet has similar chances to Sturla Holm – 12 percent to win the race and 34% chance to finish in top3.

Tarjei Boe is not far behind with ten percent chance to win and 29% chance for podium.

Another French athlete, Emilien Jacquelin, is in the next row in our table with six percent chance to be first and 20% to get any medal.

Sebastian Samuelsson who will compete at his home ground ahs 7% to win the race and 21% to be in top3 according to our model.

Simon Destieux from France. Three percent to win, 12% for any medal.

Johannes Dale from Norway – four percent chance to win, 13% chance to get any medal today.

Another Norwegian – Vetle Sjaastad Christiansen is the next in table with two percent chance to win and 9% chance to climb the podium today.

Lukas Hofer, who won the sprint race in Oestersund two days ago, predicted to win the mass start in 3% of cases and to get any medal in 11% of cases.

Bib Name Country Chances of various positions Winning chance Chance for a medal Projected seconds behind
1 BOE Johannes Thingnes
26% 52% 0s
2 LAEGREID Sturla Holm
12% 35% 13s
3 FILLON MAILLET Quentin
12% 34% 22s
4 BOE Tarjei
10% 29% 27s
7 JACQUELIN Emilien
6% 20% 40s
6 SAMUELSSON Sebastian
7% 21% 42s
10 DESTHIEUX Simon
3% 12% 57s
5 DALE Johannes
4% 13% 57s
13 CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad
2% 9% 62s
8 HOFER Lukas
3% 11% 63s
16 LESSER Erik
2% 9% 66s
9 PONSILUOMA Martin
3% 10% 67s
12 EDER Simon
1% 6% 67s
11 FAK Jakov
1% 7% 68s
15 LOGINOV Alexander
1% 6% 78s
14 DOLL Benedikt
1% 6% 80s
29 ANDERSEN Aleksander Fjeld
1% 3% 86s
24 PIDRUCHNYI Dmytro
<1% 2% 97s
20 LATYPOV Eduard
<1% 2% 99s
26 GARANICHEV Evgeniy
<1% 2% 99s
18 GUIGONNAT Antonin
<1% 2% 104s
22 KRCMAR Michal
<1% 1% 104s
27 REES Roman
<1% 1% 106s
17 CLAUDE Fabien
<1% 2% 108s
23 LEITNER Felix
<1% 1% 114s
28 SMOLSKI Anton
<1% 1% 118s
21 WEGER Benjamin
<1% 1% 118s
25 NELIN Jesper
<1% 1% 134s
19 ELISEEV Matvey
<1% 1% 137s
30 GOW Scott
<1% <1% 176s
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Sportindepth has an ambition to dive deeper into the world of sports and hopes to provide in-depth content for Soccer, Athletics and various Winter Sports.

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