April 13, 2021

Oestersund BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 20.03.2021 women 10km Pursuit race preview

In the last pursuit competition this season, our biathlon model predicts Tiril Eckhoff to win the race with a 35 percent chance, 62 percent chance to win any medal. Tiril Eckhoff managed to win pursuit discipline during the world championship 2021 in Pokljuka this February, and she has five victories in pursuit disciplines during world cup events in the current season. Tiril Eckhoff is winning the 2020-21 IBU Biathlon World Cup season simulation with a 100 percent chance in the overall season simulation. In the pursuit discipline in the season simulation, she is a huge favourite with a 99 percent winning chance and 384 points scored.

Lisa Theresa Hauser from Austria has a 15 percent chance to win the race, a 42 percent chance to win any medal and some 22 seconds are projected behind Tiril Eckhoff, according to our biathlon model. She was second-best in the pursuit race at the world championship 2021. Also, Lisa Theresa Hauser has a bronze medal from the race in Oberhof, earlier this season.

Italian biathlete Dorothea Wierer has a twelve percent chance to win today’s pursuit race, a 37 percent chance to climb on the podium and some 27 seconds behind the winner, based on our biathlon model. She was second-best in yesterday’s sprint race with 2.5 seconds behind Tiril Eckhoff.

Marte Olsbu Røiseland had a victory in the pursuit discipline in Hochfilzen, earlier this season. For today’s race, our biathlon model predicts her a winning chance of twelve percent, 35 percent to win any medal and some 31 seconds behind Tiril Eckhoff.

Her team mate Ingrid Landmark Tandrevold has five percent chance to win the race, 19 percent chance to win any medal and some 53 seconds behind the winner.

Anais Chevalier, a French biathlete, has a six percent chance to win the race, a 22 percent chance to climb on the podium and some 48 seconds behind Tiril Eckhoff, based on our biathlon model. Anais Chevalier managed to win a bronze medal in the pursuit discipline during the world championship 2021 in Pokljuka.

One more biathlete from France, Julia Simon, has a one percent winning chance in today’s race, a seven percent chance to win any medal, and some 85 seconds the winner, according to biathlon simulation.

The biathlon simulation predicts Franziska Preuss from Germany a winning chance of four percent, 16 percent chance to get any medal and some 54 seconds behind the winner.

Dzinara Alimbekava from Belarus managed to finish second best twice in the current season. She got a silver medal in the race in Hochfilzen and one more silver medal in the pursuit race in Nove Mesto earlier this month. For today’s pursuit race, the biathlon model predicts her to win a race with a three percent chance, a 13 percent chance to win any medal and some 65 seconds behind the winner.

Swedish biathlete Linn Persson has a two percent chance to win the race, a 10 percent chance to win any medal and some 69 seconds behind Tiril Eckhoff, according to our biathlon simulation.

Bib Gap Name Country Chances of various positions Winning chance Chance for a medal Projected seconds behind
1 0 ECKHOFF Tiril
35% 62% 0s
5 16 HAUSER Lisa Theresa
15% 42% 22s
2 3 WIERER Dorothea
12% 37% 27s
6 18 ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu
12% 35% 31s
4 15 CHEVALIER Anais
6% 22% 48s
3 7 TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark
5% 19% 53s
23 51 PREUSS Franziska
4% 16% 54s
11 27 ALIMBEKAVA Dzinara
3% 13% 65s
14 32 PERSSON Linn
2% 10% 69s
22 50 SIMON Julia
1% 7% 85s
10 26 FIALKOVA Paulina
1% 5% 93s
16 39 KAISHEVA Uliana
<1% 2% 99s
9 26 LIEN Ida
<1% 3% 99s
20 46 VITTOZZI Lisa
<1% 3% 101s
12 27 CHEVALIER Chloe
<1% 2% 103s
17 39 HETTICH Janina
<1% 1% 105s
7 21 HAECKI Lena
1% 3% 106s
15 38 BRORSSON Mona
<1% 1% 108s
27 56 HINZ Vanessa
<1% 1% 110s
13 30 SOLA Hanna
1% 4% 110s
52 94 OEBERG Hanna
<1% 1% 111s
18 42 KRYUKO Iryna
<1% 1% 113s
25 55 BESCOND Anais
<1% 1% 117s
8 22 TODOROVA Milena
<1% 1% 117s
34 68 HERRMANN Denise
<1% 2% 119s
29 59 KUKLINA Larisa
<1% <1% 121s
24 53 MIRONOVA Svetlana
<1% 1% 123s
31 59 WEIDEL Anna
<1% <1% 131s
48 87 OEBERG Elvira
<1% <1% 137s
38 72 GOREEVA Anastasiia
<1% <1% 152s

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Sportindepth has an ambition to dive deeper into the world of sports and hopes to provide in-depth content for Soccer, Athletics and various Winter Sports.

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