Oestersund BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 20.03.2021 women 10km Pursuit race preview

In the last pursuit competition this season, our biathlon model predicts Tiril Eckhoff to win the race with a 35 percent chance, 62 percent chance to win any medal. Tiril Eckhoff managed to win pursuit discipline during the world championship 2021 in Pokljuka this February, and she has five victories in pursuit disciplines during world cup events in the current season. Tiril Eckhoff is winning the 2020-21 IBU Biathlon World Cup season simulation with a 100 percent chance in the overall season simulation. In the pursuit discipline in the season simulation, she is a huge favourite with a 99 percent winning chance and 384 points scored.

Lisa Theresa Hauser from Austria has a 15 percent chance to win the race, a 42 percent chance to win any medal and some 22 seconds are projected behind Tiril Eckhoff, according to our biathlon model. She was second-best in the pursuit race at the world championship 2021. Also, Lisa Theresa Hauser has a bronze medal from the race in Oberhof, earlier this season.

Italian biathlete Dorothea Wierer has a twelve percent chance to win today’s pursuit race, a 37 percent chance to climb on the podium and some 27 seconds behind the winner, based on our biathlon model. She was second-best in yesterday’s sprint race with 2.5 seconds behind Tiril Eckhoff.

Marte Olsbu Røiseland had a victory in the pursuit discipline in Hochfilzen, earlier this season. For today’s race, our biathlon model predicts her a winning chance of twelve percent, 35 percent to win any medal and some 31 seconds behind Tiril Eckhoff.

Her team mate Ingrid Landmark Tandrevold has five percent chance to win the race, 19 percent chance to win any medal and some 53 seconds behind the winner.

Anais Chevalier, a French biathlete, has a six percent chance to win the race, a 22 percent chance to climb on the podium and some 48 seconds behind Tiril Eckhoff, based on our biathlon model. Anais Chevalier managed to win a bronze medal in the pursuit discipline during the world championship 2021 in Pokljuka.

One more biathlete from France, Julia Simon, has a one percent winning chance in today’s race, a seven percent chance to win any medal, and some 85 seconds the winner, according to biathlon simulation.

The biathlon simulation predicts Franziska Preuss from Germany a winning chance of four percent, 16 percent chance to get any medal and some 54 seconds behind the winner.

Dzinara Alimbekava from Belarus managed to finish second best twice in the current season. She got a silver medal in the race in Hochfilzen and one more silver medal in the pursuit race in Nove Mesto earlier this month. For today’s pursuit race, the biathlon model predicts her to win a race with a three percent chance, a 13 percent chance to win any medal and some 65 seconds behind the winner.

Swedish biathlete Linn Persson has a two percent chance to win the race, a 10 percent chance to win any medal and some 69 seconds behind Tiril Eckhoff, according to our biathlon simulation.

Bib	Gap	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Projected seconds behind
1	0	ECKHOFF Tiril	35%	62%	0s
5	16	HAUSER Lisa Theresa	15%	42%	22s
2	3	WIERER Dorothea	12%	37%	27s
6	18	ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu	12%	35%	31s
4	15	CHEVALIER Anais	6%	22%	48s
3	7	TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark	5%	19%	53s
23	51	PREUSS Franziska	4%	16%	54s
11	27	ALIMBEKAVA Dzinara	3%	13%	65s
14	32	PERSSON Linn	2%	10%	69s
22	50	SIMON Julia	1%	7%	85s
10	26	FIALKOVA Paulina	1%	5%	93s
16	39	KAISHEVA Uliana	<1%	2%	99s
9	26	LIEN Ida	<1%	3%	99s
20	46	VITTOZZI Lisa	<1%	3%	101s
12	27	CHEVALIER Chloe	<1%	2%	103s
17	39	HETTICH Janina	<1%	1%	105s
7	21	HAECKI Lena	1%	3%	106s
15	38	BRORSSON Mona	<1%	1%	108s
27	56	HINZ Vanessa	<1%	1%	110s
13	30	SOLA Hanna	1%	4%	110s
52	94	OEBERG Hanna	<1%	1%	111s
18	42	KRYUKO Iryna	<1%	1%	113s
25	55	BESCOND Anais	<1%	1%	117s
8	22	TODOROVA Milena	<1%	1%	117s
34	68	HERRMANN Denise	<1%	2%	119s
29	59	KUKLINA Larisa	<1%	<1%	121s
24	53	MIRONOVA Svetlana	<1%	1%	123s
31	59	WEIDEL Anna	<1%	<1%	131s
48	87	OEBERG Elvira	<1%	<1%	137s
38	72	GOREEVA Anastasiia	<1%	<1%	152s