Biathlon simulation predicts Tiril Eckhoff to win today’s sprint race with a 28 percent chance and a 50 percent chance of getting any medal. She won five sprint races during world cup events in the current season, and a sprint discipline during the world championship 2021 in Pokljuka this February. The Norwegian is winning the 2020-21 IBU Biathlon World Cup season simulation with a 100 percent chance in the overall season simulation and in the sprint discipline season simulation.
One more biathlete from Norway, Marte Olsbu Røiseland has a ten percent chance to win a race, 27 percent chance to win any medal and some 20 seconds behind the winner, according to the simulation model. Marte Olsbu Røiseland managed to win the silver medal in the sprint discipline at the 2018 Winter Olympics and she won a sprint race at the world championship 2020 in Antholz.
Lisa Theresa Hauser from Austria has a six percent chance to win the race, an 18 percent chance to climb on the podium and some 29 seconds behind the winner, according to the biathlon simulation model. She managed to win two bronze medals in the sprint discipline earlier this season. Both bronze medals she won in Oberhof.
The Swede, Hanna Oeberg, has a five percent chance to win today’s race, a 17 percent chance to get any medal and some 29 seconds behind Tiril Eckhoff, based on our simulation model. She managed to win two sprint races this season, both in Kontiolahti and also she won a silver medal in Oberhof.
Our biathlon model predicts Linn Persson to win the race with two percent chance, seven percent chance to win any medal and some 47 seconds behind the winner.
Similar prospects from today’s race has one more athlete from Sweden, Elvira Oeberg. She also has a two percent chance to win the race, an eight percent chance to win any medal and some 48 seconds behind Tiril Eckhoff. Elvira Oeberg managed to finish third earlier this season in Kontiolahti.
Franziska Preuss from Germany has a five percent chance to win the race, 17 percent chance to win any medal and some 30 seconds behind the winner, according to the biathlon mode. Denise Herrmann, also from Germany, has a four percent chance to win today’s sprint race, a twelve percent chance to get any medal and some 41 seconds behind the leader, based on the biathlon simulation.
Dorothea Wierer, an Italian biathlete, has a four percent chance to win the race, a fourteen percent chance to climb on the podium and some 34 seconds behind Tiril Eckhoff, based on the model. She managed to get two medals this season in the sprint discipline. One is a silver medal from the sprint race in Oberhof, and the second one is a bronze medal from the sprint race in Nove Mesto.
Dorothea’s teammate Lisa Vittozzi has a one percent chance to win today’s race, a three percent chance to win any medal and some 59 seconds behind the winner, according to the simulation. She managed to win the bronze medal in the sprint race in Nove Mesto earlier this season.
|Bib||Name||Country||Chances of various positions||Winning chance||Chance for a medal||Projected seconds behind|
|53||ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu||
|33||HAUSER Lisa Theresa||
|19||TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark||