Here is our biathlon model predictions for Nove Mesto BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup single mixed relay race.
As we can see from the table – there is no clear favourite today. Two teams – Norway and Austria have very close chances to win the race. Norwegian team, silver medalist of single relay race in the world championships in Pokljuka this year have 36% chance to win and 78% chance for podium, while Austrian team have 32% to win and 77% chance for finishing in top3 today.
World champions in this discipline, team France, have sixteen percent chance to win and 53% chance for any medal.
Team Sweden, bronze finalist of the world championships have eleven percent chance to win today and 47% chances for podium.
Russian team is predicted to finish 54 seconds behind the winner, two percent chance to win the race and 15% probability to climb the podium after the finish today.
The next in table is Canada with 1% chance to win and 9% for any medal.
The other teams have very slim chances for victory, equal or less than 1%.
| Bib | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Projected seconds behind | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NORWAY |
|
36% | 78% | 0s | |
| 6 | AUSTRIA |
|
32% | 77% | 3s | |
| 1 | FRANCE |
|
16% | 53% | 25s | |
| 3 | SWEDEN |
|
11% | 47% | 26s | |
| 10 | RUSSIA |
|
2% | 15% | 54s | |
| 7 | CANADA |
|
1% | 9% | 64s | |
| 4 | GERMANY |
|
<1% | 5% | 71s | |
| 11 | SWITZERLAND |
|
<1% | 2% | 82s | |
| 8 | UKRAINE |
|
<1% | 3% | 85s | |
| 9 | BELARUS |
|
1% | 6% | 89s | |
| 17 | USA |
|
<1% | 2% | 98s | |
| 25 | CZECH REPUBLIC |
|
<1% | 3% | 108s | |
| 21 | FINLAND |
|
<1% | 1% | 110s | |
| 15 | BELGIUM |
|
<1% | <1% | 125s | |
| 13 | ESTONIA |
|
<1% | <1% | 125s | |
| 5 | ITALY |
|
<1% | <1% | 129s | |
| 19 | JAPAN |
|
0% | <1% | 143s | |
| 22 | POLAND |
|
<1% | <1% | 164s | |
| 20 | ROMANIA |
|
0% | <1% | 171s | |
| 24 | MOLDOVA |
|
0% | <1% | 177s | |
| 26 | BULGARIA |
|
0% | <1% | 183s | |
| 18 | LITHUANIA |
|
0% | 0% | 197s | |
| 23 | SLOVAKIA |
|
0% | 0% | 225s | |
| 27 | KOREA |
|
0% | 0% | 240s | |
| 12 | SLOVENIA |
|
0% | 0% | 240s | |
| 16 | LATVIA |
|
0% | 0% | 276s | |
| 14 | KAZAKHSTAN |
|
0% | 0% | 300s |

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