Nove Mesto BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 13.03.2021 women 10km pursuit race preview

Here are the simulation results for today women’s pursuit race in Nove Mesto generated by our biathlon model.

The main favourite to win the race today is overall BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup leader Tiril Eckhoff. She won a sprint race on Thursday and will be starting first today. Also she already won a pursuit race in Nove Mesto during last weekend. Her chance to win today is 42% and chance to get on podium is 69%.

Italian Dorothea Wierer was very unlucky in similar pursuit a week ago. She made 9 misses during the race and finished on 34th position. Her chances for a gold medal today is sixteen percent and 45% for any medal.

Franziska Preuss from Germany will start 17 seconds behind the leader today. Our model estimates her chances to win as 13% and chances to climb the podium as 40%. She finished fifth in the similar pursuit last Sunday.

Marte Olsbu Roeiseland, overall BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup runner-up, will start with 47 seconds gap today. Her chances to win the race are predicted as nine percent and chances for any medal as 30%. Last weekend she got a bronze medal in similar pursuit race.

Fifth favourite is Austrian Lisa Theresa Hauser with five percent chance to win and 24% to stand on podium today.

The next row in the table shows that Denise Herrmann from Germany, who finished second in the pursuit last Sunday and second in sprint on Thursday, has 4% chance to win today and 17% to get any medal.

Dzinara Alimbekava from Belarus has three percent chance to win pursuit today and 14% for any medal.

Ukrainian Juliya Dzhyma was fifth in sprint on Thursday and our model predicts her 1% chance to win and nine percent chance for podium today.

Two Oeberg sisters from Sweden have 1% chance to win the pursuit, Hanna has 8% and Elvira 7% chance for any medal today.

Bib	Gap	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Projected seconds behind
1	0	ECKHOFF Tiril	42%	69%	0s
3	11	WIERER Dorothea	16%	45%	30s
4	17	PREUSS Franziska	13%	40%	34s
14	47	ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu	9%	30%	47s
13	44	HAUSER Lisa Theresa	5%	24%	55s
2	6	HERRMANN Denise	4%	17%	69s
6	31	ALIMBEKAVA Dzinara	3%	14%	74s
5	31	DZHYMA Juliya	1%	9%	82s
24	74	OEBERG Hanna	1%	8%	82s
7	36	OEBERG Elvira	1%	7%	91s
19	69	CHEVALIER Anais	1%	6%	95s
17	67	TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark	1%	4%	99s
11	43	DAVIDOVA Marketa	1%	5%	100s
12	43	BRAISAZ Justine	1%	6%	102s
20	69	SIMON Julia	1%	4%	111s
9	38	SCHWAIGER Julia	<1%	2%	112s
37	90	PERSSON Linn	<1%	1%	121s
22	70	KNOTTEN Karoline Offigstad	<1%	<1%	125s
15	51	LIEN Ida	<1%	2%	127s
28	85	VITTOZZI Lisa	<1%	1%	129s
26	81	BLASHKO Darya	<1%	<1%	133s
16	65	BENDIKA Baiba	<1%	1%	135s
21	69	HOJNISZ Monika	<1%	1%	136s
41	94	ZDOUC Dunja	<1%	<1%	142s
18	67	GASPARIN Selina	<1%	1%	145s
36	90	BESCOND Anais	<1%	<1%	150s
10	40	CHARVATOVA Lucie	<1%	1%	151s
8	37	DUNKLEE Susan	<1%	<1%	154s
27	83	MERKUSHYNA Anastasiya	<1%	<1%	164s
29	85	SOLA Hanna	<1%	<1%	168s