Nove Mesto BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 12.03.2021 women 7.5km Sprint race preview

Based on our biathlon model, a biathlete from Norway Tiril Eckhoff has a winning chance in today’s race of 20 percent and a 40 percent chance to win any medal.

Tiril Eckhoff has already won a sprint 1 race last week in Nove Mesto, she was 9.3 second ahead of the closest contender Juliya Dzhyma from Ukraine, also she managed to win the gold medal in the sprint discipline at world championship 2021 in Pokljuka earlier this year.

In the 2020-21 IBU Biathlon World Cup season simulation, Tiril Eckhoff is the main favourite with a 97 percent chance to win in overall biathlon simulation, and with an 89 percent chance to win in the sprint discipline.

Norwegian biathlete Marte Olsbu Røiseland has a twelve percent chance to win a race, 30 percent chance to win any medal and she has estimated some nice seconds behind Tiril Eckhoff by our biathlon model.

Marte Olsbu Røiseland was second best in the sprint discipline at the 2018 Winter Olympics and she won gold medal in the sprint race at the world championship 2020 in Antholz.

One more participant of team Norway, Ingrid Landmark Tandrevold has three percent chance to win a race, eleven percent to chance to climb on the podium and some 31 seconds behind the winner, according to our biathlon model.

Biathlon simulation predicts Ida Lien a winning chance of one percent, three percent chance to win any medal and some 58 seconds behind the winner.

Sweden biathlete Hanna Oeberg has a five percent chance to win today’s race, a 16 percent chance to get any medal and some 22 seconds behind the winner, according to biathlon simulation.

Her sister and team mate, Elvira Oeberg has a two percent chance to win a race, a 16 percent chance to climb on the podium and some 48 seconds behind Tiril Eckhoff.

Linn Persson has three percent chance to run for gold in today’s sprint race, nine percent chance to run for any medal and some 34 seconds behind Tiril Eckhoff by our biathlon model.

Dorothea Wierer has same as Hanna Oeberg, five percent chance to win the race, 16 percent chance to get any medal and 23 percent seconds behind the winner.

Lisa Vittozzi, managed to win bronze medal in sprint 1 race earlier in Nove Mesto. For today’s race, our simulation predicts her to win a race with one percent chance, six percent chance to get any medal and some 45 seconds behind the winner.

Franziska Preuss, a German biathlete, has five percent chance to win a race, a 16 percent chance to win any medal and some 23 seconds behind Tiril Eckhoff.

The French contender Anais Chevalier managed to finish second in the world championship 2021 in Pokljuka in the sprint discipline. The biathlon model predicts her a winning chance of five percent, 16 percent chance to win any medal and some 25 seconds behind the winner.

The silver medalist in sprint 1 race in Nove Mesto last week, an Ukraine athlete, Juliya Dzhyma has one percent chance to win today’s sprint race, five percent chance to get any medal and some 43 seconds behind the winner.

Bib	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Projected seconds behind
30	ECKHOFF Tiril	20%	40%	0s
33	ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu	12%	30%	9s
19	OEBERG Hanna	5%	16%	22s
6	WIERER Dorothea	5%	16%	23s
15	PREUSS Franziska	5%	16%	23s
13	CHEVALIER Anais	5%	16%	25s
26	HAUSER Lisa Theresa	4%	14%	27s
24	TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark	3%	11%	31s
11	PERSSON Linn	3%	9%	34s
1	HERRMANN Denise	3%	10%	37s
3	SIMON Julia	3%	10%	38s
22	ALIMBEKAVA Dzinara	2%	9%	39s
89	DAVIDOVA Marketa	2%	7%	42s
47	DZHYMA Juliya	1%	5%	43s
10	BRAISAZ Justine	2%	7%	44s
8	VITTOZZI Lisa	1%	6%	45s
36	OEBERG Elvira	2%	6%	48s
17	MIRONOVA Svetlana	1%	4%	52s
81	PIDHRUSHNA Olena	1%	3%	53s
29	GASPARIN Selina	1%	5%	53s
28	KAISHEVA Uliana	1%	2%	55s
50	BESCOND Anais	1%	3%	56s
46	BENDIKA Baiba	1%	3%	56s
55	PAVLOVA Evgeniya	1%	2%	56s
14	SOLA Hanna	2%	5%	57s
64	LIEN Ida	1%	3%	58s
25	FIALKOVA Paulina	1%	3%	59s
57	KRUCHINKINA Elena	1%	2%	63s
49	CADURISCH Irene	1%	2%	69s
97	CHARVATOVA Lucie	1%	2%	73s