May 9, 2021

Nove Mesto BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 07.03.2021 women 10km Pursuit race preview

Here is simulation for women pursuit race in Nove Mesto generated by our model.

First two rows in the table occupied by two Norwegian athletes – Tiril Eckhoff, who won the sprint yesterday and will be starting first today and Marte Olsbu Roeiseland who will be starting 19 seconds later. As we can see that both girls have similar chances to win the race today (23-24%) and same chances to get a medal (50-51%).

Third favourite with 16% chance to win and 43% chance for a medal is Italian Dorothea Wierer who took fifth place in the sprint race a day ago.

Franziska Preuss from Germany has 11% chance for the gold medal and 33% for podium, she will be starting 25 seconds behind the leader in the pursuit.

Another Norwegian – Ingrid Landmark Tandrevold will be starting sixth today with 17 seconds gap and our model predicted five percent chance to win and 19% chance for any medal.

Next in the table is Dzinara Alimbekava from Belarus who just missed the podium by one second in sprint and today she has four percent chance to win and 17% chance for a medal.

Silver medalist in sprint, Juliya Dzhyma from Ukraine will be starting nine seconds behind the leader, our model predicts her 2% chance to win today and 12% to climb the podium.

Bib Gap Name Country Chances of various positions Winning chance Chance for a medal Projected seconds behind
1 0 ECKHOFF Tiril
23% 50% 0s
7 19 ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu
24% 51% 13s
5 16 WIERER Dorothea
16% 43% 19s
8 25 PREUSS Franziska
11% 33% 35s
6 17 TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark
5% 19% 51s
4 16 ALIMBEKAVA Dzinara
4% 17% 54s
2 9 DZHYMA Juliya
2% 12% 55s
3 15 VITTOZZI Lisa
2% 11% 64s
15 45 CHEVALIER Anais
3% 13% 70s
10 29 HERRMANN Denise
2% 10% 79s
13 41 KAISHEVA Uliana
1% 6% 89s
9 29 BRAISAZ Justine
1% 6% 93s
12 38 DAVIDOVA Marketa
1% 5% 96s
16 46 BLASHKO Darya
1% 4% 97s
21 64 PERSSON Linn
<1% 3% 102s
36 92 OEBERG Hanna
<1% 3% 103s
38 97 HAUSER Lisa Theresa
<1% 3% 104s
14 42 CADURISCH Irene
1% 3% 119s
11 34 SOLA Hanna
1% 3% 120s
23 68 HINZ Vanessa
<1% 1% 130s
35 89 SIMON Julia
<1% 1% 132s
24 69 MIRONOVA Svetlana
<1% 1% 137s
26 74 BESCOND Anais
<1% <1% 142s
34 89 PIDHRUSHNA Olena
<1% <1% 144s
29 77 HETTICH Janina
<1% <1% 149s
25 73 FIALKOVA Paulina
<1% <1% 154s
17 46 CHARVATOVA Lucie
<1% 1% 155s
20 59 HAMMERSCHMIDT Maren
<1% <1% 156s
22 66 MERKUSHYNA Anastasiya
<1% <1% 156s
18 58 LAUKKANEN Mari
<1% <1% 164s
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Sportindepth has an ambition to dive deeper into the world of sports and hopes to provide in-depth content for Soccer, Athletics and various Winter Sports.

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