by Here is simulation for women pursuit race in Nove Mesto generated by our model.
First two rows in the table occupied by two Norwegian athletes – Tiril Eckhoff, who won the sprint yesterday and will be starting first today and Marte Olsbu Roeiseland who will be starting 19 seconds later. As we can see that both girls have similar chances to win the race today (23-24%) and same chances to get a medal (50-51%).
Third favourite with 16% chance to win and 43% chance for a medal is Italian Dorothea Wierer who took fifth place in the sprint race a day ago.
Franziska Preuss from Germany has 11% chance for the gold medal and 33% for podium, she will be starting 25 seconds behind the leader in the pursuit.
Another Norwegian – Ingrid Landmark Tandrevold will be starting sixth today with 17 seconds gap and our model predicted five percent chance to win and 19% chance for any medal.
Next in the table is Dzinara Alimbekava from Belarus who just missed the podium by one second in sprint and today she has four percent chance to win and 17% chance for a medal.
Silver medalist in sprint, Juliya Dzhyma from Ukraine will be starting nine seconds behind the leader, our model predicts her 2% chance to win today and 12% to climb the podium.
