Nove Mesto BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 07.03.2021 men 12.5km Pursuit race preview

Here is simulation for 12.5km men pursuit race in Nove Mesto generated by our model.

All three main favourites for the race are from Norway.

First line is taken by Sturla Holm Laegreid, he will be starting ten seconds behind the yesterday sprint winner Simon Destieux, and his chance to win the race estimated as 22%, while chance to get any medal is at 52%.

The next is overall world cup leader Johannes Thingnes Boe. He will be starting 39 seconds behind the leader, his chance to win the pursuit today is 20%, chance for taking any medal is 45%.

His brother Tarjei Boe has 12% chance to win the race and 33% chance for podium today.

Next line in the table is represented by sprint bronze medalist Arnd Peiffer with nine percent winning chance and 28% chance for any medal.

Sebastian Samuelsson from Sweden, who finished second yesterday, has seven percent winning chance today and 22% chance for podium, he will be starting with only two seconds gap behind the leader.

The next three athletes are from France: Quentin Fillon Maillet (10% chance for the golden medal and 29% chance for podium), sprint winner Simon Destieux (five percent chance to win and 17% for getting any medal) and Emilien Jacquelin with 4% chance to win and 16% chance for a medal.

Bib	Gap	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Projected seconds behind
4	10	LAEGREID Sturla Holm	22%	52%	0s
11	39	BOE Johannes Thingnes	20%	45%	24s
5	11	BOE Tarjei	12%	33%	28s
3	4	PEIFFER Arnd	9%	28%	30s
2	2	SAMUELSSON Sebastian	7%	22%	35s
7	27	FILLON MAILLET Quentin	10%	29%	37s
1	0	DESTHIEUX Simon	5%	17%	39s
8	30	JACQUELIN Emilien	4%	16%	56s
6	15	DOLL Benedikt	3%	11%	66s
9	33	FAK Jakov	2%	8%	71s
18	54	DALE Johannes	2%	10%	72s
24	60	CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad	1%	5%	85s
23	60	LOGINOV Alexander	1%	4%	92s
14	51	LESSER Erik	1%	3%	96s
13	43	GUIGONNAT Antonin	<1%	3%	99s
20	57	PONSILUOMA Martin	1%	4%	100s
10	37	LATYPOV Eduard	<1%	2%	104s
21	57	HOFER Lukas	<1%	3%	106s
28	70	EDER Simon	<1%	1%	109s
15	53	PIDRUCHNYI Dmytro	<1%	1%	122s
17	54	RASTORGUJEVS Andrejs	<1%	1%	133s
22	58	SMOLSKI Anton	<1%	<1%	136s
34	81	ELISEEV Matvey	<1%	<1%	141s
16	53	KHALILI Said Karimulla	<1%	<1%	141s
36	88	WEGER Benjamin	<1%	<1%	152s
32	77	NELIN Jesper	<1%	<1%	157s
30	73	LEITNER Felix	<1%	<1%	161s
26	68	SEPPALA Tero	<1%	<1%	169s
51	103	CLAUDE Fabien	<1%	<1%	172s
25	62	ILIEV Vladimir	<1%	<1%	180s