October 22, 2021

Nove Mesto BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 07.03.2021 men 12.5km Pursuit race preview

Here is simulation for 12.5km men pursuit race in Nove Mesto generated by our model.

All three main favourites for the race are from Norway.

First line is taken by Sturla Holm Laegreid, he will be starting ten seconds behind the yesterday sprint winner Simon Destieux, and his chance to win the race estimated as 22%, while chance to get any medal is at 52%.

The next is overall world cup leader Johannes Thingnes Boe. He will be starting 39 seconds behind the leader, his chance to win the pursuit today is 20%, chance for taking any medal is 45%.

His brother Tarjei Boe has 12% chance to win the race and 33% chance for podium today.

Next line in the table is represented by sprint bronze medalist Arnd Peiffer with nine percent winning chance and 28% chance for any medal.

Sebastian Samuelsson from Sweden, who finished second yesterday, has seven percent winning chance today and 22% chance for podium, he will be starting with only two seconds gap behind the leader.

The next three athletes are from France: Quentin Fillon Maillet (10% chance for the golden medal and 29% chance for podium), sprint winner Simon Destieux (five percent chance to win and 17% for getting any medal) and Emilien Jacquelin with 4% chance to win and 16% chance for a medal.

Bib Gap Name Country Chances of various positions Winning chance Chance for a medal Projected seconds behind
4 10 LAEGREID Sturla Holm
22% 52% 0s
11 39 BOE Johannes Thingnes
20% 45% 24s
5 11 BOE Tarjei
12% 33% 28s
3 4 PEIFFER Arnd
9% 28% 30s
2 2 SAMUELSSON Sebastian
7% 22% 35s
7 27 FILLON MAILLET Quentin
10% 29% 37s
1 0 DESTHIEUX Simon
5% 17% 39s
8 30 JACQUELIN Emilien
4% 16% 56s
6 15 DOLL Benedikt
3% 11% 66s
9 33 FAK Jakov
2% 8% 71s
18 54 DALE Johannes
2% 10% 72s
24 60 CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad
1% 5% 85s
23 60 LOGINOV Alexander
1% 4% 92s
14 51 LESSER Erik
1% 3% 96s
13 43 GUIGONNAT Antonin
<1% 3% 99s
20 57 PONSILUOMA Martin
1% 4% 100s
10 37 LATYPOV Eduard
<1% 2% 104s
21 57 HOFER Lukas
<1% 3% 106s
28 70 EDER Simon
<1% 1% 109s
15 53 PIDRUCHNYI Dmytro
<1% 1% 122s
17 54 RASTORGUJEVS Andrejs
<1% 1% 133s
22 58 SMOLSKI Anton
<1% <1% 136s
34 81 ELISEEV Matvey
<1% <1% 141s
16 53 KHALILI Said Karimulla
<1% <1% 141s
36 88 WEGER Benjamin
<1% <1% 152s
32 77 NELIN Jesper
<1% <1% 157s
30 73 LEITNER Felix
<1% <1% 161s
26 68 SEPPALA Tero
<1% <1% 169s
51 103 CLAUDE Fabien
<1% <1% 172s
25 62 ILIEV Vladimir
<1% <1% 180s

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