by Team Norway which is represented by Johannes Thingnes Boe and Tiril Eckhoff is the favourite in today’s single mixed relay race according to our simulation. They have 34 percent winning chance and 72 percent chance to get a medal.
Both athletes also participated in the mixed relay, which they won together with Marte Olsbu Roeiseland and Sturla Holm Laegreid. The mixed relay was the very first discipline during Pokljuka’s World Championship.
Last year, at the World Championship in Antholz, Johannes Thingnes Boe won the single mixed discipline together with his teammate Marte Olsbu Røiseland.
This year, he has very good chances to defend the title, as Tiril Eckhoff is in peak form having won three gold medals already during Pokljuka 2021. She has already managed to win, in addition to a gold medal in the mixed relay, two more golds in the sprint and pursuit disciplines.
Second best team according to our biathlon model is from Austria. This team’s participants are Lisa Theresa Hauser and Simon Eder. Those two athletes won silver medals in mixed relay race earlier this tournament, together with David Komatz and Dunja Zdouc. Lisa Theresa Hauser won a Silver medal in the pursuit race, on Sunday, February, 14th.
Team Austria has 25 percent chance to win today’s race and 67 percent chance to get any medal. They are estimated to finish three seconds behind the Norwegian team, according to the model.
The Swedes have seventeen percent chance to win and 56 percent chance to get any medal. They are projected behind the winner some twelve seconds, based on our simulation. The Swedish team is represented by Sebastian Samuelsson and Hanna Oeberg.
They had a good run in a mixed relay earlier in Pokljuka, where they won bronze medals together with Martin Ponsiluoma and Linn Persson.
Sebastian Samuelsson had good run in pursuit discipline in Pokljuka already and Hanna Oeberg got silver medal in the individual race.
The team from Germany is represented by Erik Lesser and Franziska Preuss. They were only 17ish seconds behind team Norway in the last year’s World Championship in the single mixed discipline. For today’s race our biathlon model predicts a winning chance of nine percent and 36 percent chance to get any medal.
The next team which has some good prospects for today’s race is France. They have ten percent winning chance and 38 percent chance to get a medal. Our biathlon model projects them to finish the race some thirty seconds behind Norwegian team.
This team is represented by Antonin Guigonnat and Julia Simon.
In the world championship 2020 in Antholz, team France sealed bronze medals, but at that championship the French team consisted of Anaïs Bescond, Émilien Jacquelin.
One more team which has good expectations from the single mixed race is Italy. They have five percent chance to win the race and 24 seconds to get any medal.
The Italian team is represented by Lukas Hofer and Dorothea Wierer. In Antholz-Anterselva 2020, Lukas Hofer and Dorothea Wierer managed to win silver medals in mixed relay discipline.
Other teams have less than one percent winning chance, according to biathlon simulation.
| Bib | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Projected seconds behind | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | NORWAY |
|
34% | 72% | 0s | |
| 8 | AUSTRIA |
|
25% | 67% | 3s | |
| 2 | SWEDEN |
|
17% | 56% | 12s | |
| 4 | GERMANY |
|
9% | 36% | 29s | |
| 1 | FRANCE |
|
10% | 38% | 30s | |
| 7 | ITALY |
|
5% | 24% | 40s | |
| 9 | RUSSIA |
|
<1% | 4% | 74s | |
| 14 | UKRAINE |
|
<1% | 2% | 79s | |
| 6 | CANADA |
|
<1% | 1% | 90s | |
| 16 | SWITZERLAND |
|
<1% | 1% | 98s | |
| 11 | USA |
|
<1% | <1% | 125s | |
| 5 | BELARUS |
|
<1% | <1% | 130s | |
| 27 | BULGARIA |
|
<1% | <1% | 139s | |
| 19 | FINLAND |
|
<1% | <1% | 146s | |
| 25 | SLOVAKIA |
|
<1% | <1% | 150s | |
| 12 | BELGIUM |
|
0% | <1% | 154s | |
| 17 | ESTONIA |
|
<1% | <1% | 154s | |
| 18 | LATVIA |
|
<1% | <1% | 162s | |
| 13 | SLOVENIA |
|
0% | <1% | 167s | |
| 23 | JAPAN |
|
0% | 0% | 178s | |
| 20 | POLAND |
|
<1% | <1% | 178s | |
| 21 | ROMANIA |
|
0% | 0% | 188s | |
| 10 | KAZAKHSTAN |
|
0% | 0% | 203s | |
| 15 | LITHUANIA |
|
0% | 0% | 236s | |
| 22 | MOLDOVA |
|
0% | 0% | 244s | |
| 26 | CZECH REPUBLIC |
|
0% | 0% | 258s | |
| 28 | KOREA |
|
0% | 0% | 283s | |
| 24 | CROATIA |
|
0% | 0% | 435s |
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