May 9, 2021

Pokljuka BMW IBU Biathlon World Championship 10.02.2021 4×7.5km mixed relay race preview

Our Biathlon model predicts Norway as the most likely winner of the opening race of the IBU World Championship 2021 in Pokljuka with some 60 percent chance of winning. The Norwegian team’s chances of picking up a medal are estimated at around 93%.

France is considered the second most likely winner with a 23 percent chance to win, the French team ends up on average 38 seconds behind the Norwegians in our simulations.

Of the other teams, Sweden and Germany are the main contenders. Both are estimated to have some seven to eight percent chance of winning.

Teams from other countries have one percent or less chance of winning in biathlon simulation.

Bib Country Chances of various positions Winning chance Chance for a medal Projected seconds behind
2 NORWAY
60% 93% 0s
3 FRANCE
23% 75% 38s
13 SWEDEN
8% 52% 66s
5 GERMANY
7% 47% 72s
1
1% 12% 122s
7 ITALY
<1% 8% 131s
4 BELARUS
<1% 5% 143s
11 AUSTRIA
<1% 3% 150s
10 UKRAINE
<1% 1% 170s
6 SWITZERLAND
<1% 2% 174s
14 CZECH REPUBLIC
<1% 2% 177s
8 FINLAND
<1% <1% 250s
9 USA
<1% <1% 267s
15 CANADA
0% <1% 273s
26 BULGARIA
0% 0% 312s
16 ESTONIA
0% <1% 319s
12 POLAND
0% 0% 333s
20 SLOVAKIA
0% <1% 341s
18 JAPAN
0% 0% 348s
22 LITHUANIA
0% 0% 377s
21 KAZAKHSTAN
0% 0% 381s
24 BELGIUM
0% 0% 472s
19 LATVIA
0% 0% 477s
27 KOREA
0% 0% 499s
23 ROMANIA
0% 0% 505s

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Sportindepth has an ambition to dive deeper into the world of sports and hopes to provide in-depth content for Soccer, Athletics and various Winter Sports.

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