Antholz-Anterselva BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 24.01.2021 men 15km mass start race preview

Our model predicted men’s mass start race in Antholz-Anterselva. three main favourites are from Norway: Johannes Thinges Boe with 33% to win, Sturla Holm Laegreid with 11% and Tarjei Boe with 9% chance. Four next biathletes have very close chances between five and six percent: Quentin Fillon Maillet, Johannes Dale, Vetle Sjaastad Christiansen and Emilien Jacquelin.

Bib	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Projected seconds behind
1	BOE Johannes Thingnes	33%	59%	0s
2	LAEGREID Sturla Holm	11%	34%	18s
3	BOE Tarjei	9%	27%	39s
6	FILLON MAILLET Quentin	6%	21%	48s
4	DALE Johannes	6%	19%	48s
11	CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad	5%	18%	51s
7	JACQUELIN Emilien	5%	18%	51s
12	PEIFFER Arnd	3%	11%	64s
13	DOLL Benedikt	4%	13%	67s
17	LOGINOV Alexander	2%	9%	71s
10	FAK Jakov	2%	7%	75s
8	PONSILUOMA Martin	3%	10%	76s
18	DESTHIEUX Simon	2%	7%	81s
9	HOFER Lukas	2%	7%	83s
19	EDER Simon	1%	4%	84s
14	LESSER Erik	1%	5%	88s
22	BJOENTEGAARD Erlend	1%	4%	93s
20	ELISEEV Matvey	1%	4%	93s
5	SAMUELSSON Sebastian	2%	7%	97s
21	GUIGONNAT Antonin	1%	3%	98s
16	WEGER Benjamin	<1%	2%	105s
28	GARANICHEV Evgeniy	<1%	2%	106s
24	LEITNER Felix	<1%	2%	112s
29	REES Roman	<1%	2%	113s
15	CLAUDE Fabien	<1%	2%	115s
23	LATYPOV Eduard	<1%	1%	124s
30	FINELLO Jeremy	<1%	1%	133s
26	DUDCHENKO Anton	<1%	<1%	163s
25	KOMATZ David	<1%	<1%	165s
27	BIONAZ Didier	<1%	<1%	166s