October 22, 2021

Antholz-Anterselva BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 23.01.2021 women 12.5km mass start race preview

Marte Olsbu Røiseland is predicted to win women mass start race in Antholz-Anterselva. Her chance to win dropped some four percent from the mass start in Oberhof last week, from 20 percent to 16 percent. Nonetheless, Marte is our model’s favourite to win today’s mass start race as well as our favourite to win the 2020-21 overall world cup. She has about a 52 percent chance of winning the overall and is also the most likely winner of the small crystal bowls for the sprint, mass start and pursuit cups.

The Austrian, Lisa Theresa Hauser, who won her first ever world cup event a few days ago when she won the 15 KM individual race in Antholz is our second favourite with about a 14 percent chance to win according to our Biathlon model. The biathlon model expects her to finish only some three seconds behind Olsbu Roeiseland.

Dorothea Wierer is our model’s third favourite to win at home and we assign her is projected with some twelve percent chance of winning and about 34 percent chance of finishing on the podium.

Behind the three main favourites the model expects a close race between several athletes, with Tiril Eckhoff, Hanna Oeberg and Franziska Preuss each given about an eight percent chance of winning this race.

Bib Name Country Chances of various positions Winning chance Chance for a medal Projected seconds behind
1 ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu
16% 38% 0s
7 HAUSER Lisa Theresa
14% 35% 3s
4 WIERER Dorothea
12% 31% 7s
5 PREUSS Franziska
8% 24% 17s
2 ECKHOFF Tiril
8% 23% 21s
3 OEBERG Hanna
8% 22% 22s
6 ALIMBEKAVA Dzinara
4% 15% 33s
9 CHEVALIER Anais
5% 15% 37s
12 SIMON Julia
4% 14% 40s
11 HERRMANN Denise
4% 13% 44s
26 PAVLOVA Evgeniya
2% 8% 52s
22 VITTOZZI Lisa
2% 9% 53s
13 TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark
2% 8% 55s
14 PERSSON Linn
1% 5% 62s
27 KAISHEVA Uliana
1% 5% 69s
10 DAVIDOVA Marketa
1% 5% 69s
15 BRAISAZ Justine
1% 5% 73s
18 HETTICH Janina
1% 3% 77s
24 DZHYMA Juliya
<1% 2% 80s
8 OEBERG Elvira
2% 7% 81s
17 BESCOND Anais
1% 3% 84s
29 HINZ Vanessa
<1% 2% 84s
19 MIRONOVA Svetlana
1% 3% 87s
16 KNOTTEN Karoline Offigstad
<1% 1% 87s
23 ZDOUC Dunja
<1% 1% 92s
20 LUNDER Emma
<1% 1% 99s
30 KUKLINA Larisa
<1% 1% 104s
28 DEIGENTESCH Marion
<1% <1% 115s
25 EGAN Clare
<1% 1% 121s
21 BRORSSON Mona
<1% 1% 146s

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Sportindepth has an ambition to dive deeper into the world of sports and hopes to provide in-depth content for Soccer, Athletics and various Winter Sports.

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