by Marte Olsbu Røiseland is predicted to win women mass start race in Antholz-Anterselva. Her chance to win dropped some four percent from the mass start in Oberhof last week, from 20 percent to 16 percent. Nonetheless, Marte is our model’s favourite to win today’s mass start race as well as our favourite to win the 2020-21 overall world cup. She has about a 52 percent chance of winning the overall and is also the most likely winner of the small crystal bowls for the sprint, mass start and pursuit cups.
The Austrian, Lisa Theresa Hauser, who won her first ever world cup event a few days ago when she won the 15 KM individual race in Antholz is our second favourite with about a 14 percent chance to win according to our Biathlon model. The biathlon model expects her to finish only some three seconds behind Olsbu Roeiseland.
Dorothea Wierer is our model’s third favourite to win at home and we assign her is projected with some twelve percent chance of winning and about 34 percent chance of finishing on the podium.
Behind the three main favourites the model expects a close race between several athletes, with Tiril Eckhoff, Hanna Oeberg and Franziska Preuss each given about an eight percent chance of winning this race.
| Bib | Name | Country | Chances of various positions | Winning chance | Chance for a medal | Projected seconds behind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ROEISELAND Marte Olsbu |
|
16% | 38% | 0s | |
| 7 | HAUSER Lisa Theresa |
|
14% | 35% | 3s | |
| 4 | WIERER Dorothea |
|
12% | 31% | 7s | |
| 5 | PREUSS Franziska |
|
8% | 24% | 17s | |
| 2 | ECKHOFF Tiril |
|
8% | 23% | 21s | |
| 3 | OEBERG Hanna |
|
8% | 22% | 22s | |
| 6 | ALIMBEKAVA Dzinara |
|
4% | 15% | 33s | |
| 9 | CHEVALIER Anais |
|
5% | 15% | 37s | |
| 12 | SIMON Julia |
|
4% | 14% | 40s | |
| 11 | HERRMANN Denise |
|
4% | 13% | 44s | |
| 26 | PAVLOVA Evgeniya |
|
2% | 8% | 52s | |
| 22 | VITTOZZI Lisa |
|
2% | 9% | 53s | |
| 13 | TANDREVOLD Ingrid Landmark |
|
2% | 8% | 55s | |
| 14 | PERSSON Linn |
|
1% | 5% | 62s | |
| 27 | KAISHEVA Uliana |
|
1% | 5% | 69s | |
| 10 | DAVIDOVA Marketa |
|
1% | 5% | 69s | |
| 15 | BRAISAZ Justine |
|
1% | 5% | 73s | |
| 18 | HETTICH Janina |
|
1% | 3% | 77s | |
| 24 | DZHYMA Juliya |
|
<1% | 2% | 80s | |
| 8 | OEBERG Elvira |
|
2% | 7% | 81s | |
| 17 | BESCOND Anais |
|
1% | 3% | 84s | |
| 29 | HINZ Vanessa |
|
<1% | 2% | 84s | |
| 19 | MIRONOVA Svetlana |
|
1% | 3% | 87s | |
| 16 | KNOTTEN Karoline Offigstad |
|
<1% | 1% | 87s | |
| 23 | ZDOUC Dunja |
|
<1% | 1% | 92s | |
| 20 | LUNDER Emma |
|
<1% | 1% | 99s | |
| 30 | KUKLINA Larisa |
|
<1% | 1% | 104s | |
| 28 | DEIGENTESCH Marion |
|
<1% | <1% | 115s | |
| 25 | EGAN Clare |
|
<1% | 1% | 121s | |
| 21 | BRORSSON Mona |
|
<1% | 1% | 146s |
Related posts:
Kontiolahti BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 28.11.2020 men 20km individual race preview
Kontiolahti BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 28.11.2020 women 15km individual race preview
Kontiolahti BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 29.11.2020 women 7.5km sprint race preview
Kontiolahti BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 29.11.2020 men 10km sprint race preview
