Oberhof BMW IBU Biathlon World Cup 17.01.2021 men 15km mass start race preview

For today’s race our model predicts four Norwegians as favourites to win a mass start race in Oberhof. Johannes Thingnes Boe with 30 percent chance to win, Sturla Holm Laegreid with ten percent and 22 seconds behind, Tarjei Boe eight percent and 37 seconds behind, Johannes Dale same eight percent as Tarjei and 38 seconds behind.

Two Frenchmen follow the leaders, Quentin Fillon Maillet has six percent chance to win the race and 44 seconds behind and Émilien Jacquelin has five percent chance to win and 49 seconds behind.

Bib	Name	Winning chance	Chance for a medal	Projected seconds behind
1	BOE Johannes Thingnes	30%	56%	0s
2	LAEGREID Sturla Holm	10%	29%	22s
4	BOE Tarjei	8%	25%	37s
3	DALE Johannes	8%	24%	38s
8	FILLON MAILLET Quentin	6%	21%	44s
6	JACQUELIN Emilien	5%	18%	49s
7	PONSILUOMA Martin	5%	17%	55s
14	PEIFFER Arnd	3%	13%	56s
5	SAMUELSSON Sebastian	3%	10%	68s
12	LESSER Erik	3%	10%	68s
15	CHRISTIANSEN Vetle Sjaastad	2%	9%	68s
9	FAK Jakov	2%	7%	73s
17	LOGINOV Alexander	2%	7%	75s
13	HOFER Lukas	2%	9%	76s
18	DESTHIEUX Simon	2%	7%	77s
11	DOLL Benedikt	2%	6%	81s
20	ELISEEV Matvey	1%	4%	87s
21	GUIGONNAT Antonin	1%	4%	90s
26	PIDRUCHNYI Dmytro	1%	5%	93s
19	EDER Simon	<1%	2%	101s
10	CLAUDE Fabien	1%	3%	102s
16	WEGER Benjamin	<1%	2%	104s
22	LATYPOV Eduard	1%	2%	105s
23	KRCMAR Michal	<1%	2%	107s
24	BJOENTEGAARD Erlend	1%	3%	108s
25	NELIN Jesper	<1%	2%	109s
27	RASTORGUJEVS Andrejs	<1%	1%	121s
28	LEITNER Felix	<1%	1%	131s
29	WINDISCH Dominik	<1%	1%	136s
30	FEMLING Peppe	<1%	<1%	175s